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2010 Progress Report - International Joint Commission

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Figure 44. Ammonia Monitoring Network<br />

Scientific and Technical Cooperation and Research<br />

Source: US EPA <strong>2010</strong><br />

Impacts of Climate Change on Air Quality<br />

Climate change plays an important role in regional air<br />

quality, as the latter is dependent on meteorological<br />

conditions, which are sensitive to changes in climate.<br />

Both Canada and the U.S. are studying the impacts<br />

of different climate change scenarios based on the<br />

Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)<br />

Fourth Assessment <strong>Report</strong> (AR4) via the coupling<br />

of air quality and climate change models. Much of<br />

the current work is studying the impacts of a future<br />

warmer climate on O 3<br />

formation, as the effects on<br />

PM formation are more complicated and less clear.<br />

Studies show that an increase in temperature alone<br />

has the potential to increase O 3<br />

, especially in alreadyimpacted<br />

areas, such as urban centres.<br />

In the U.S., the modelling work has focused on<br />

the impacts of climate change on ambient O 3<br />

and<br />

PM 2.5<br />

levels, as well as the combined effects of a<br />

changing climate, along with anticipated precursor<br />

emissions decreases. Modelling results show that a<br />

climate change-only scenario will result in increases<br />

in both mean summer 8-hour and 95 th percentile<br />

summer 8-hour maximum concentrations for O 3<br />

, with<br />

the increases mainly in the eastern portions of the<br />

country. A climate change and emissions reduction<br />

scenario results in overall decreases in both the<br />

mean and 95 th percentile 8-hour maximum O 3<br />

levels,<br />

again with the greatest decreases concentrated in<br />

73

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