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baltic states and belarus real estate market review - Colliers

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Commercial <strong>real</strong><br />

<strong>estate</strong> <strong>market</strong> shows<br />

promising signs<br />

2010 could be considered as the turnaround year for Lithuania‘s economy. The<br />

country has emerged from recession, <strong>and</strong> posted positive GDP growth in Q2 <strong>and</strong><br />

Q3. Meanwhile, the commercial <strong>real</strong> <strong>estate</strong> <strong>market</strong> remained rather passive due to<br />

the slower economic recovery of the country. Although the <strong>market</strong> has been offered<br />

the lowest number of new projects in the past decade, there have been positive<br />

trends, which at the end of the year sparked optimism among <strong>market</strong> participants. A<br />

decline in vacancy rates has been observed without exception in all commercial <strong>real</strong><br />

<strong>estate</strong> sectors. The period of rental price corrections has ended, with rental prices<br />

have stabilizing. Favourable conditions for the objects that are attractive in terms of<br />

location <strong>and</strong> concept emerged with elimination of discounts granted to tenants during<br />

the crisis, <strong>and</strong> rental price increases. The improved image of the Baltic countries in<br />

Sc<strong>and</strong>inavia <strong>and</strong> Western Europe returned investors interest in the countries (for<br />

instance, BPT Asset management established a new fund BPT Baltic Opportunity to<br />

invest in <strong>real</strong> <strong>estate</strong> in the Baltic countries).<br />

ramune askiniene<br />

Director<br />

Consultancy <strong>and</strong> Valuation Department<br />

<strong>Colliers</strong> International Advisors, Lithuania<br />

2011 promises to be more optimistic, although a great <strong>market</strong> rebound is not expected.<br />

Labour <strong>market</strong> issues <strong>and</strong> significantly deteriorated household consumption, credit<br />

<strong>market</strong> stagnation, low investment levels amongst others limit <strong>market</strong> growth<br />

opportunities. On the other h<strong>and</strong>, increased investors interest confirms that it is still a<br />

good time to purchase attractive objects. As a result, investors are willing to pay more,<br />

although meeting the expectations of sellers is still difficult.<br />

For explanations of our findings, please refer to our annual <strong>market</strong> report. We hope<br />

that an objective assessment of the current <strong>market</strong> situation <strong>and</strong> insights for the<br />

future development of the <strong>market</strong> presented by our qualified analyst team will be<br />

useful <strong>and</strong> help you in planning <strong>and</strong> decision-making processes.

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