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baltic states and belarus real estate market review - Colliers

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Real Estate Market Review 2011 | Estonia Office Market<br />

Dynamics of Rent Rates in<br />

Tallinn<br />

Rental Rates (EUR)<br />

26<br />

22<br />

18<br />

14<br />

10<br />

6<br />

0<br />

2005<br />

2006<br />

2007<br />

2008<br />

2009<br />

Class A Class B1 Class B2<br />

Rent Rates<br />

The main changes in office rental <strong>and</strong><br />

vacancy rates took place in the first half of<br />

2009 when many companies started to<br />

restructure their activities <strong>and</strong> look<br />

aggressively for cost saving opportunities.<br />

Office rent rates started to decline<br />

dramatically only in Q4 2008, significantly<br />

dropped during the first six months of 2009<br />

when A <strong>and</strong> B properties showed an average<br />

year-on-year drop of 25 - 40 per cent in<br />

rental rates, while rent rates for new<br />

premises outside CBD decreased up to 50<br />

per cent. In the second half of 2009 office<br />

rental rates started to stabilize.<br />

In early 2010, rent rates remained more or<br />

less on the same level since 2009, although<br />

the range of asking rent rates (especially for<br />

B1 Class buildings) became wider. In order to<br />

attract new tenants l<strong>and</strong>lords have agreed to<br />

rent out office space to tenants during first<br />

one or two years of lease agreement for a<br />

rent that is significantly lower than the <strong>market</strong><br />

average price.<br />

Overall in 2010 the average asking rental<br />

rates decreased by 2 - 5 per cent due to a<br />

small decrease in average rental prices for A<br />

Class properties <strong>and</strong> decrease in the lower<br />

end prices for B1 Class properties. At the<br />

same time, while the average asking rental<br />

rate continued its falling trend, the rental<br />

rates in contemporary office buildings in<br />

good location have stabilized or even<br />

somewhat increased.<br />

The Tallinn office <strong>market</strong> remains a tenant’s<br />

<strong>market</strong>, with a good range of choice <strong>and</strong><br />

attractive rental rates. However, lease<br />

incentives, rent-free periods <strong>and</strong> partial fitout<br />

compensation are less likely to be offered<br />

to tenants now compared with the crisis<br />

period.<br />

Office rental rates are expected to remain<br />

more or less stable during 2011. A sharp<br />

increase in construction prices in 2010 have<br />

put pressure on the average rental rates of<br />

potential developments, although tenants are<br />

not yet prepared to pay higher rents.<br />

Rental rates in Tallinn are typically 15-17 per<br />

cent lower than average rent rates in main<br />

Eastern European capitals.<br />

Vacancy<br />

A strong supply of new office projects<br />

accompanied by the economic slowdown <strong>and</strong><br />

tenants’ cost-saving policies (reducing the<br />

size of office space requested, renegotiating<br />

rents, <strong>and</strong> sub-leasing excess office space)<br />

resulted in an increase in vacancy rates in<br />

2009.<br />

There were no new contemporary office<br />

buildings accruing to the <strong>market</strong> in 2010, <strong>and</strong><br />

the vacancy rate of existing office buildings<br />

(especially for A-class properties) started to<br />

decrease gradually. The key strategy for<br />

attracting new tenants became active<br />

<strong>market</strong>ing <strong>and</strong> communication, not only the<br />

cheapest rental rate.<br />

By the end of 2010, the situation in the office<br />

sector had improved for l<strong>and</strong>lords who are<br />

flexible with pricing, thus the vacancy rate in<br />

A <strong>and</strong> B1 office buildings is slightly<br />

decreasing. The average vacancy rate for<br />

Class A offices varied in the range of<br />

12 - 15 per cent at the end of 2010 while the<br />

average vacancy rate for Class B offices<br />

varied in the range of 14 - 17 per cent.<br />

Dynamics of the Vacancy Rate in Tallinn<br />

35%<br />

30%<br />

25%<br />

20%<br />

15%<br />

10%<br />

5%<br />

0%<br />

Jan 2005<br />

JUne 2005<br />

Jan 2006<br />

June 2006<br />

Jan 2007<br />

2010<br />

June 2007<br />

Jan 2008<br />

June 2008<br />

Jan 2009<br />

June 2009<br />

Jan 2010<br />

June 2010<br />

Jan 2011<br />

Class A Class B1 Total<br />

CONTACT: AVO RÕÕMUSSAAR - a.roomussaar@colliers.ee<br />

<strong>Colliers</strong> International | p. 56

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