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baltic states and belarus real estate market review - Colliers

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Real Estate Market Review 2011 | Estonia Industrial Market<br />

Tendencies<br />

◊<br />

◊<br />

◊<br />

After 2009 saw diving rental rates <strong>and</strong><br />

increasing vacancy, 2010 began with<br />

very little tenant dem<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> a high<br />

vacancy rate. The sector remained<br />

fragile with fears of bankruptcies or<br />

jumps in vacancy with hopes pinned on<br />

a growth in exports <strong>and</strong> transit <strong>and</strong> a<br />

stabilising.<br />

In 2010 the <strong>market</strong> remained in favour<br />

of occupiers as l<strong>and</strong>lords offered<br />

competitive <strong>and</strong> more flexible lease<br />

conditions to tenants. Companies that<br />

were seeking <strong>and</strong> leasing warehouse<br />

premises in 2010 represented mostly<br />

retail sector companies (Prisma, Rahva<br />

Raamat, Selver, R-Kiosk).<br />

As 2010 has progressed, construction<br />

prices have increased steeply<br />

(approximately 20 per cent over the<br />

year) <strong>and</strong> widened the gap between the<br />

asking price of developers <strong>and</strong> tenant<br />

expectations. Due to increased<br />

construction prises <strong>and</strong> the high cost of<br />

borrowing, occupiers tend to prefer<br />

build-to-suit to self-financed <strong>and</strong> built<br />

projects because companies could use<br />

their capital for other purposes rather<br />

than tying it up in <strong>real</strong> <strong>estate</strong>.<br />

◊ Occupiers are still cautious <strong>and</strong><br />

generally show preference to leasing<br />

over purchase. In the case of needs for<br />

premises with specific parameters, due<br />

to a shortage of such new buildings<br />

often older industrial premises are<br />

considered. Short-term rental contracts<br />

have become more common. Investor<br />

interest for industrial sector is improving<br />

but remains relatively low.<br />

◊<br />

◊<br />

◊<br />

◊<br />

Even though the industrial <strong>market</strong><br />

vacancy rate was quite high throughout<br />

2010, the sector has become more<br />

active among Russian <strong>and</strong> Sc<strong>and</strong>inavian<br />

clients, <strong>and</strong> there was some degree of<br />

dem<strong>and</strong> shortfall in larger properties<br />

(above 5,000 sqm). In addition to<br />

international companies, some local<br />

companies have also become active in<br />

this segment.<br />

Although the sector has shown some<br />

positive signs of recovery, supported by<br />

strengthening exports <strong>and</strong> economic<br />

revival in neighbouring Nordic countries,<br />

stable recovery in this <strong>market</strong> will be<br />

slow-moderate over the medium-term.<br />

Despite reduced dem<strong>and</strong>, a drop-off in<br />

supply should allow rents to remain<br />

more stable in 2011.<br />

The development of industrial properties<br />

is concentrated on the area of Tallinn<br />

<strong>and</strong> Harju County. The obvious reasons<br />

for this are the location (for example,<br />

proximity of main ports such as Muuga<br />

<strong>and</strong> Paldiski), built-up infrastructure <strong>and</strong><br />

economic activity in the area.<br />

Since the end of 2009 foreign investors<br />

have turned their attention to the<br />

industrial <strong>market</strong> <strong>and</strong> continue to seek<br />

attractive investment possibilities.<br />

Growing interest from foreign investors<br />

attracted to the sector by low prices,<br />

remains to be a promising sign.<br />

CONTACT: AVO RÕÕMUSSAAR - a.roomussaar@colliers.ee<br />

<strong>Colliers</strong> International | p. 66

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