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baltic states and belarus real estate market review - Colliers

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Real Estate Market Review 2011 | Estonia Hotel Market<br />

looking for an Asian carrier to make Tallinn<br />

its hub in flights between Asia <strong>and</strong> Europe.<br />

Domestic tourism decreased substantially in<br />

2009. However, during the first months of<br />

2010 the decline stopped <strong>and</strong> starting from<br />

the second quarter of 2010, domestic tourism<br />

showed an increase in terms of occupancy at<br />

accommodation establishments. In 2010,<br />

837,811 domestic tourists stayed overnight at<br />

accommodation establishments in Estonia<br />

(+9.3 per cent compared to 2009). According<br />

to Enterprise Estonia, overnights on holiday<br />

trips increased by 13 per cent <strong>and</strong> overnights<br />

on business trips by 12 per cent, whereas<br />

overnights on other trips decreased by 2.6<br />

per cent.<br />

Prices <strong>and</strong> Occupancy<br />

Tendencies <strong>and</strong> Forecasts<br />

◊<br />

◊<br />

◊<br />

Although 2010 already established a<br />

new record high in terms of the number<br />

of tourists in Estonia, hotel operators<br />

are even more optimistic about 2011.<br />

Starting from autumn 2010 the average<br />

room price has started to steadily<br />

increase <strong>and</strong> is predicted that during<br />

2011 the increase could be as much as<br />

30 per cent. In general, room prices are<br />

expected to increase by 10 - 15 per cent<br />

on average due to growing tourism<br />

dem<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> a continual increase in<br />

energy <strong>and</strong> labour force prices.<br />

Tallinn’s European Capital of Culture<br />

programme is expected to further buoy<br />

the hotel sector in 2011.<br />

In 2009, an overall decrease in occupancy<br />

rates directly caused a decrease in room<br />

rates. Low-end room rates fell 15 - 20 per<br />

cent year-on-year, forcing existing hotels to<br />

be more cost effective <strong>and</strong> flexible with<br />

pricing.<br />

In 2010 the average price for a night of<br />

accommodation in Estonia was 26.7 EUR<br />

<strong>and</strong> 31.1 EUR in Tallinn indicating an annual<br />

decrease of 5 per cent <strong>and</strong> 8 per cent<br />

respectively. The minimum price for st<strong>and</strong>ard<br />

double hotel rooms in Tallinn decreased on<br />

average by 15 - 20 per cent encouraging<br />

sales of accommodation services in 2010.<br />

The average occupancy rate in 2010 for all<br />

accommodation establishments was 39.8 per<br />

cent in Estonia <strong>and</strong> 52 per cent in Tallinn.<br />

Due to a substantial increase in the total<br />

supply (approx. 23 per cent) of rooms<br />

between 2007 <strong>and</strong> 2008 <strong>and</strong> an unfavourable<br />

economic climate, the occupancy rate during<br />

2009 declined relative to 2008 by ca 12 per<br />

cent both in Estonia <strong>and</strong> Tallinn. In 2010 the<br />

average occupancy for accommodation<br />

establishments in Estonia returned to 2008<br />

levels while the occupancy rate in Tallinn<br />

increased by ca 18.5 per cent in 2010<br />

compared to 2009, exceeding 2008 level.<br />

◊<br />

◊<br />

◊<br />

Further development of inbound tourism<br />

is substantially dependant on the volume<br />

of Estonia’s air travel, which is expected<br />

to grow with the opening of several new<br />

direct flights. Tallinn Airport expects to<br />

add almost half a million passengers in<br />

2011 <strong>and</strong> the number is expected to<br />

continue further growing mostly due to<br />

low-cost carriers.<br />

There are no new hotel chains expected<br />

to enter Tallinn hotel <strong>market</strong> <strong>and</strong> no new<br />

hotels to be established in the near<br />

future (in 1 - 2 year perspective).<br />

As Estonia is no longer a relatively<br />

inexpensive country, tourism enterprises<br />

will need to focus on additional products/<br />

services <strong>and</strong> cost-efficient management<br />

in order to maintain a competitive<br />

advantage.<br />

CONTACT: AVO RÕÕMUSSAAR - a.roomussaar@colliers.ee<br />

<strong>Colliers</strong> International | p. 70

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