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baltic states and belarus real estate market review - Colliers

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Real Estate Market Review 2011 | Estonia Retail Market<br />

Tendencies<br />

◊<br />

◊<br />

◊<br />

◊<br />

◊<br />

Sales figures remained lower YOY at the<br />

beginning of 2010, but improved<br />

gradually <strong>and</strong> turned positive in the third<br />

quarter of 2010.<br />

Surprisingly, the <strong>market</strong> saw substantial<br />

development activity in Tallinn with<br />

Bauhaus opening 20,000 sqm of new<br />

floor area in April <strong>and</strong> Kristiine Shopping<br />

Centre opening its 20,000 sqm<br />

extension in September.<br />

Vacancy rates in larger shopping centres<br />

remained effectively at zero, although<br />

high <strong>and</strong> perhaps still rising elsewhere;<br />

As it is more difficult for l<strong>and</strong>lords to<br />

find new tenants for the vacant premises<br />

with the same terms <strong>and</strong> rental level<br />

than a few years ago, l<strong>and</strong>lords are<br />

more interested in keeping good tenantl<strong>and</strong>lord<br />

relations.<br />

The Estonian retail <strong>market</strong> is too<br />

dependant on several retail chains<br />

◊<br />

◊<br />

◊<br />

performance. Insolvency of one single<br />

retail chain may lead to considerable<br />

leap in vacancy rates across Estonia.<br />

Despite an improved global economic<br />

outlook, retailers are still expressing<br />

caution in terms of exp<strong>and</strong>ing <strong>and</strong><br />

committing to new stores.<br />

Possible development in the retail sector<br />

depends not only on recovery of<br />

domestic consumption in Estonia but to<br />

a great extent also on financing<br />

availability. Innovation will be more<br />

crucial than ever concerning supply of<br />

new premises in the future - unique<br />

concepts of retail-leisure centres <strong>and</strong><br />

new br<strong>and</strong>s will gain an advantage.<br />

Rental rates for anchor tenants are<br />

expected to remain stable. The main<br />

changes are expected in rent levels of<br />

smaller retail units. Future rent rates<br />

will depend on retailers’ performance as<br />

well as supply of new premises<br />

(completion of several big retail<br />

projects/retail parks).<br />

CONTACT: AVO RÕÕMUSSAAR - a.roomussaar@colliers.ee<br />

<strong>Colliers</strong> International | p. 62

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