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baltic states and belarus real estate market review - Colliers

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Stability, optimism<br />

<strong>and</strong> The Euro<br />

After several difficult <strong>and</strong> challenging years of economic downturn in Estonia,<br />

2010 can be hailed as the end of crisis times, <strong>and</strong> of stabilization of the economy <strong>and</strong><br />

<strong>real</strong> <strong>estate</strong> <strong>market</strong>s.<br />

2010 saw an end to falling figures <strong>and</strong> negative growth, as well as a farewell to the<br />

Estonian Kroon, with the country embracing The Euro on 1 Jan 2011. The <strong>market</strong><br />

turnaround as well as the new era of membership of the Eurozone have given a great<br />

sense of optimism <strong>and</strong> positive outlook for Estonian <strong>real</strong> <strong>estate</strong> <strong>market</strong>s.<br />

Economic growth has recovered above expectations in 2010, driven by exports to<br />

key trade partners, most notably Finl<strong>and</strong> <strong>and</strong> Sweden. Investment activity emerged<br />

once again after very little activity in 2009 thanks to revived foreign interest in<br />

Tallinn, which offers companies commercial areas very much below average Eastern<br />

European capital city prices.<br />

Avo Rõõmussaar<br />

Partner, Director<br />

<strong>Colliers</strong> International, Estonia<br />

Supply showed little change during the year, with difficult financing conditions, <strong>and</strong><br />

soaring construction costs however dem<strong>and</strong> generally increased in most sectors. 2011<br />

should not differ greatly in this respect. Rents in most sectors finally strengthened<br />

<strong>and</strong> showed a slight increase in an upward trend that is expected to continue into<br />

2011 also. Finally, vacancy rates increased in older or poorly located properties, but<br />

are generally decreasing <strong>and</strong> effectively nil in some segments such as CBD office <strong>and</strong><br />

retail in modern shopping centres.<br />

Although crisis times are officially over <strong>and</strong> there is a sense of optimism in the <strong>market</strong>,<br />

this does not signal a return to boom-times by any means. Several ongoing defects in<br />

the economy will continue to impact the growth of <strong>real</strong> <strong>estate</strong> <strong>market</strong>s such as high<br />

structural unemployment, high construction prices, inflation <strong>and</strong> supply side defects.<br />

Overall the <strong>market</strong> is much more optimistic entering 2011 12 months earlier. The<br />

adoption of the Euro was a l<strong>and</strong>mark event <strong>and</strong> is symbolic of the beginning of a new<br />

post-crisis phase <strong>and</strong> the expectation of steady growth in years to come.<br />

We, at <strong>Colliers</strong> International hope that the following <strong>market</strong> summaries, prepared by<br />

our <strong>market</strong> experts in Tallinn will provide you with useful information <strong>and</strong> insights to<br />

assist you in your business decision making in Estonia in 2011.

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