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Levels are literally <strong>of</strong>f the charts already, having sunk below levels identified on navigation maps used by commercial<br />

shippers and pleasure boaters.<br />

For cargo shippers, “Everything is rosy when you are above that (chart level) but when you go below (it), you have to<br />

decrease your load and make more frequent trips,” said Ge<strong>of</strong>f Peach <strong>of</strong> the Goderich-based advocacy group Great<br />

Lakes Centre for Coastal Conservation.<br />

Water levels in Lake Huron are forecast this month to reach their lowest levels since 1964.<br />

Levels were at their highest in 1986, when docks were swamped, shorelines eroded and lakefront properties<br />

jeopardized.<br />

Closer to home, Lake Erie, blessed with more rainfall this year than some <strong>of</strong> its sister lakes, is not near record low<br />

levels but its volume is still lower than recorded averages.<br />

Officials began logging levels in 1918 and waterlines in all the Great Lakes are well below the average.<br />

Bringing levels back up is a slow process, though. Hydrologists say what could help turn the tide this winter would be<br />

a cold season with plenty <strong>of</strong> ice cover; that would stop evaporation and add to spring run-<strong>of</strong>f.<br />

debora.vanbrenk@sunmedia.ca<br />

twitter.com/Debatlfpress<br />

- - -<br />

THE PROBLEM...AND ITS EFFECTS<br />

Why are lake levels lower?<br />

<br />

Rainfall and run-<strong>of</strong>f can increase lake levels. Evaporation can lower levels. In recent years, evaporation<br />

rates have outpaced rainfall and run<strong>of</strong>f; seasons have become warmer and drier, and last winter was one <strong>of</strong> the<br />

driest on record.<br />

<br />

Many say the drop is cyclical and will rebound.<br />

<br />

Some environmentalists pin the decline partly on a faster-flowing St. Clair River and say dredging there has<br />

made the river a sort <strong>of</strong> plug-puller on the upper-lakes basin. “<strong>The</strong>re is a very significant factor that humans<br />

have the ability to control,” says Mary Muter <strong>of</strong> the Ontario Great Lakes section <strong>of</strong> the Sierra Club. Her group<br />

advocates installing an underwater sail to adjust water flows in the St. Clair River.<br />

On recreation/beachfront<br />

<br />

<br />

Areas that once had thin beaches now have broad stretches <strong>of</strong> sand.<br />

Boat slips stand higher above water and docks are sometimes landlocked, far from the water’s edge<br />

On marinas and ports<br />

<br />

<br />

Marinas may find themselves dredging more <strong>of</strong>ten to accommodate their larger boat tenants.<br />

Ports are shallower, sometimes requiring shippers to place lighter loads on vessels.<br />

<br />

Depth is still fine in the channel and harbour at Goderich, the region’s biggest commercial port. Goderich<br />

Mayor Deb Shewfelt says everyone is keeping an eye on levels in the event ships need to lighten their loads.<br />

Even so, “It’s basically full speed ahead” on the new $48-milion port expansion, he said.<br />

On ecology<br />

119

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