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The economic effects of EU-reforms in corporate income tax systems

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− b<br />

Π t −1 = Yt<br />

−1<br />

− wLt<br />

−1<br />

− dbt<br />

−1Rb<br />

Kt<br />

−1<br />

−δ f Dt<br />

−1<br />

−φIt<br />

−1<br />

< 0<br />

(A.23)<br />

<strong>The</strong> nom<strong>in</strong>al value <strong>of</strong> this lagged loss can (with probability 1-q) be <strong>of</strong>fset aga<strong>in</strong>st current pr<strong>of</strong>its<br />

if current pr<strong>of</strong>its are positive (with probability q), such that the expected <strong>tax</strong> base E(П L ) is:<br />

E<br />

L ⎡ q<br />

1−<br />

q ⎤<br />

( Π ) = q Y − wL − d R K − D −φI<br />

+ Π<br />

− t − 1 ⎥ ⎦<br />

t<br />

⎢<br />

⎣<br />

t<br />

t<br />

bt<br />

b<br />

t<br />

δ f t t<br />

(A.24)<br />

n<br />

1+<br />

r<br />

where r n is the nom<strong>in</strong>al rate <strong>of</strong> return. Compared to loss carry forward, the <strong>tax</strong> base is<br />

unambiguously smaller under consolidation:<br />

E<br />

C L<br />

−<br />

⎛ 1−<br />

q ⎞<br />

( Π ) − E( Π ) = ( 1−<br />

) Π t −1 < 0, θ = q⎜1+<br />

⎟<br />

⎠<br />

θ (A.25)<br />

n<br />

⎝ 1+<br />

r<br />

where θ≤1 is the fraction <strong>of</strong> expenditures which can be deducted from total revenues. Given the<br />

expected <strong>tax</strong> base <strong>in</strong> (A.24), dividends can be written as:<br />

Div<br />

b<br />

( − q) Yt<br />

− wLt<br />

−[<br />

rb<br />

+ cb<br />

] dbtKt<br />

− E( Π<br />

L t ) − It<br />

+ dbt+ 1Kt<br />

1 − dbtKt<br />

g<br />

t = qYt<br />

+<br />

+<br />

1 τ (A.26)<br />

Note that the limited deductibility <strong>of</strong> losses implies that the first-order condition for labour is<br />

adjusted to:<br />

⎛ qτ<br />

⎞<br />

1 L<br />

n L<br />

(A.27)<br />

⎝ 1+<br />

r ⎠<br />

g<br />

b<br />

( −τ<br />

) qY + ⎜1−<br />

⎟( 1−<br />

q) Y = ( 1−θτ<br />

)w<br />

which can be written as:<br />

qY<br />

g<br />

L<br />

+<br />

b τ ⎛ q ⎞ b<br />

( 1−<br />

q) Y = w + ( 1−<br />

q) ⎜1<br />

− ⎟( w − Y )<br />

L<br />

1−τ<br />

⎝<br />

1+<br />

r<br />

n<br />

⎠<br />

L<br />

(A.28)<br />

which shows that limited loss <strong>of</strong>fset <strong>in</strong>duces an <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> labour costs, given that w≥Y b L .<br />

<strong>The</strong> first-order conditions for <strong>in</strong>vestment I t , and the stock variables D t and K t now read as:<br />

( 1− θφτ ) = (1 −φ)<br />

λ + µ<br />

(A.29)<br />

δ f<br />

λ = τ<br />

(A.30)<br />

R + δ<br />

f<br />

⎛ qτ<br />

⎞<br />

K K<br />

b<br />

(A.31)<br />

n<br />

⎝ 1+<br />

r ⎠<br />

g<br />

b<br />

( 1−τ<br />

) qY + ⎜1−<br />

⎟( 1−<br />

q) Y = µ ( r + δ ) − d r( 1−θτ<br />

)<br />

69

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