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CRC Report No. A-34 - Coordinating Research Council

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April 2005<br />

3.0 RECEPTOR MODELING METHODOLOGY<br />

Receptor models infer contributions from different source types using multivariate measurements<br />

taken at one or more receptor locations and the abundances of chemical components in source<br />

emissions. Receptor models include the Enrichment Factors (EF), Chemical Mass Balance<br />

(CMB), eigenvector analysis (also termed Principal Component Analysis [PCA], Factor Analysis<br />

[FA], and Empirical Orthogonal Functions [EOF]), Multiple Linear Regression (MLR), neural<br />

networks, cluster analysis, Fourier Transform time series, and a number of other multivariate<br />

data analysis methods. CMB is well established for VOC apportionment and is the receptor<br />

model that is evaluated in this study. The review by Watson et al. (2001) examines how the<br />

CMB receptor model has been applied to quantify ambient volatile organic compound (VOC)<br />

source contributions to ambient concentrations of organic gases.<br />

DRI recently prepared a protocol for applying the CMB to Photochemical Assessment<br />

Monitoring Station (PAMS) VOC data and for evaluating and interpreting model outputs (Fujita<br />

and Campbell, 2003). The guidance includes a summary of the fundamentals of CMB,<br />

descriptions of the features of CMB Version 8, and sample VOC source and ambient input data<br />

files, default source and fitting species selection files, and a current library of available source<br />

VOC composition profiles in CMB8-ready format. The applications and validation protocol<br />

provides recommended procedures for validating ambient VOC data, assigning uncertainties to<br />

ambient and source measurements, selecting and evaluating source composition profiles and<br />

fitting species, evaluating and validating model outputs, and analyzing and interpreting the CMB<br />

source contribution estimates and associated uncertainties. The document and supporting files<br />

are intended to facilitate and encourage the application of the CMB receptor model to PAMS<br />

VOC data by State and Local air pollution agencies as an evaluation of emissions inventories.<br />

The actual profiles are available electronically. This library is a compilation of source profiles<br />

that have been used by the Desert <strong>Research</strong> Institute in prior VOC source apportionment studies.<br />

They include profiles that were newly developed for specific studies, the literature, and from the<br />

California Air Resources Boards Modeling Emissions Data System (MEDS). Studies for which<br />

profiles were newly developed include the 1993 Coast Oxidant Assessment for Southeast Texas<br />

(Fujita et al., 1995b), 1995 Boston and Los Angeles VOC Source Apportionment Study (Fujita et<br />

al. 1997a), 1995/96 Washington Ozone Transport Study (Fujita et al., 1997c), 1996 El<br />

Paso/Juarez Ozone Study (Fujita, 1998; Seila et al., 2001), and 1998 Central Texas On-Road<br />

Hydrocarbon Study (1999a), 1999 VOC Source Signatures in Houston, TX (Fujita et al., 1999b),<br />

apportionment of 1994-97 South Coast Air Basin PAMS VOC data (Fujita and Campbell,<br />

2003b), and the 2000 Weekend Ozone Observations in the South Coast Air Basin (Fujita et al.,<br />

2003a).<br />

3.1 FUNDAMENTALS<br />

The CMB procedure requires: 1) identification of the contributing source types; 2) selection of<br />

chemical species to be included; 3) estimation of the fractions of each chemical species<br />

contained in each source type; 4) estimation of the uncertainties to both ambient concentrations<br />

and source compositions; and 5) solution of the chemical mass balance equations. The CMB<br />

model assumes that: 1) compositions of source emissions are constant over the period of ambient<br />

and source sampling; 2) chemical species do not react with each other, i.e., they add linearly; 3)<br />

H:\crca<strong>34</strong>-receptor\report\Final\sec3.doc 3-1

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