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multivariate poisson hidden markov models for analysis of spatial ...

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The <strong>multivariate</strong> Poisson <strong>hidden</strong> Markov model has some improvements over the<br />

existing the <strong>multivariate</strong> finite mixture model. The computation time <strong>of</strong> the model is<br />

less in the <strong>hidden</strong> Markov model compared to the finite mixture model <strong>for</strong> large sample<br />

sizes (section 8.3). Another feature <strong>of</strong> the <strong>multivariate</strong> Poisson <strong>hidden</strong> Markov model is<br />

that it can take into account the serial correlation among observations and provide the<br />

transition probabilities from one state to another.<br />

9.4 Model application to different datasets<br />

The <strong>multivariate</strong> Poisson finite mixture and the <strong>multivariate</strong> Poisson <strong>hidden</strong> Markov<br />

<strong>models</strong> provided a better fit than the <strong>multivariate</strong> Poisson-log normal model <strong>of</strong><br />

Aitchison and Ho (1989). The Newton-Raphson method is used to calculate the<br />

parameters <strong>of</strong> the <strong>multivariate</strong> Poisson-log normal model (section 7.5).<br />

9.5 Real world applications<br />

In general, the <strong>multivariate</strong> count data occur in different fields <strong>of</strong> study. In this thesis,<br />

we focused on counts <strong>for</strong> three weed species found in an agricultural field. Even though<br />

we selected: Wild Buckwheat, Dandelion and Wild Oats as examples, we can generalize<br />

this method to other weed counts as well. The main objective was to find out the<br />

distribution <strong>of</strong> these species. The <strong>multivariate</strong> Poisson finite mixture <strong>models</strong> and the<br />

<strong>multivariate</strong> Poisson <strong>hidden</strong> Markov <strong>models</strong> are two clustering methods to unmix the<br />

distribution and to find parameters and the number <strong>of</strong> components or states given the<br />

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