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multivariate poisson hidden markov models for analysis of spatial ...

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maximization (EM) algorithm is applicable (McLachlan and Peel, 2000 and Fraley and<br />

Raftery, 1998).<br />

For a <strong>multivariate</strong> finite mixture model, to avoid the computational difficulties, it is<br />

<strong>of</strong>ten assumed that the observed variables are mutually independent within components<br />

(Vermunt et al., 2002). If there are no restrictions on the dependency <strong>of</strong> variables, the<br />

model with <strong>multivariate</strong> probability density functions is applicable. Sometimes the<br />

model-based clustering problem involves estimating a separate set <strong>of</strong> means, variances,<br />

and covariances <strong>for</strong> each mixture component, which quickly becomes computationally<br />

burdensome (Brijs, 2002).<br />

Several types <strong>of</strong> restrictions can be imposed on the variance-covariance matrix to create<br />

the <strong>models</strong> in between the local independence model and the full covariance model. In<br />

some situations, this may be necessary <strong>for</strong> practical reasons since the unrestricted model<br />

may be inadequate. The reason <strong>for</strong> this inadequacy is that the number <strong>of</strong> free parameters<br />

in the variance-covariance matrix <strong>for</strong> the full covariance model increases rapidly with<br />

the number <strong>of</strong> mixture components and the number <strong>of</strong> indicator variables. There<strong>for</strong>e,<br />

more restricted <strong>models</strong> are defined by assuming certain pairs <strong>of</strong> y ’s to be mutually<br />

independent within mixture components by fixing some but not all covariances to zero<br />

(Karlis, 2003; Li et al., 1999).<br />

81

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