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multivariate poisson hidden markov models for analysis of spatial ...

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Another alternative is to use the partitioning <strong>of</strong> a k-means clustering as the initial<br />

starting values (McLachlan et al., 1988).<br />

• The EM algorithm generally converges very slowly when compared to other<br />

iterative algorithm, such as Newton-Raphson algorithm. The EM converges<br />

linearly towards the optimum, while Newton-Raphson converges with quadratic<br />

speed towards optimum (Aitkin and Aitkin, 1996).<br />

• Non-convergence to global optimum sometimes is another problem <strong>of</strong> the EM<br />

algorithm. Convergence and the properties <strong>of</strong> convergence depend heavily on<br />

the starting values.<br />

• An important problem, but somewhat ignored in the literature, is the stopping<br />

rule <strong>for</strong> the number <strong>of</strong> iterations. In fact, the EM is rather sensitive in the sense<br />

that different stopping rules can lead to different estimates (Seidel et al., 2000).<br />

According to Karlis and Xekalaki (1998), this is caused because at every<br />

iteration, the loglikelihood increases by a very small amount and at the same<br />

time the estimates can change a lot.<br />

• Even though the EM is more popular, its general principles are well understood<br />

and extensively used algorithm, in every problem one has to build the algorithm<br />

in a different way.<br />

5.3.4 Determining the number <strong>of</strong> components or states<br />

In some applications <strong>of</strong> model-based clustering, there is enough in<strong>for</strong>mation about the<br />

number <strong>of</strong> components k in the mixture model to be specified with sufficient certainty.<br />

85

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