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KARRINYUP / GWELUP Local Area Plan - City of Stirling

KARRINYUP / GWELUP Local Area Plan - City of Stirling

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In 2006, the average age <strong>of</strong> residents in the Karrinyup-Gwelup<br />

<strong>Local</strong> <strong>Area</strong> was 39 years <strong>of</strong> age and 19.1% <strong>of</strong> the population was<br />

aged 60 years or older. The median age and the proportion <strong>of</strong><br />

seniors were higher than the <strong>City</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Stirling</strong> or Metropolitan Perth<br />

averages.<br />

A significant proportion (74.9%) <strong>of</strong> the 2006 population form family<br />

households - well above the <strong>City</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Stirling</strong> and Perth metropolitan<br />

averages. Of these family households, 49% were couples with<br />

children, 39.6% were couples with no children and 10.1% were<br />

single parent families. These figures indicate that the Karrinyup-<br />

Gwelup <strong>Local</strong> <strong>Area</strong> is not consistent with averages across most<br />

areas <strong>of</strong> Perth and <strong>Stirling</strong>, where the proportion <strong>of</strong> couples<br />

without children and people living alone has been increasing for<br />

many years. Of all occupied private dwellings within the <strong>Local</strong><br />

<strong>Area</strong>, 20.2% are lone households. This is much lower than the<br />

<strong>City</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Stirling</strong> average, although only slightly less than the Perth<br />

average.<br />

Percentage <strong>of</strong> Population<br />

20<br />

18<br />

16<br />

14<br />

12<br />

10<br />

8<br />

6<br />

4<br />

2<br />

0<br />

Gwelup Age Structure Forecast<br />

0-9 10.-19 20-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60-69 70-79 80-over<br />

Age Brackets<br />

2006<br />

2016<br />

2031<br />

Percentage <strong>of</strong> Population<br />

18<br />

16<br />

14<br />

12<br />

10<br />

8<br />

6<br />

4<br />

2<br />

0<br />

Karrinyup Age Structure Forecast<br />

0-9 10.-19 20-29 30-39 40-49 50-59 60-69 70-79 80-over<br />

Age Brackets<br />

The Age Structure Forecast shows that both Karrinyup and<br />

Gwelup both had a large percentage <strong>of</strong> the population in the 30-39<br />

year age group in 2006. Subsequently, the largest age bracket in<br />

2016 is forecast to be the 40-49 year age group.<br />

In 2006, 18% <strong>of</strong> the Gwelup population was aged 0-9 years. This<br />

reflects the current fertility rate in Gwelup (and Karrinyup), which is<br />

higher than the current fertility rate for the <strong>City</strong> <strong>of</strong> <strong>Stirling</strong>. The<br />

forecast reflects that the fertility rate for the <strong>Local</strong> <strong>Area</strong> is assumed<br />

to fall marginally between 2006 and 2031 with Karrinyup’s fertility<br />

rate falling from 2.17 to 2.14 children per woman, and Gwelup’s<br />

fertility rate falling from 2.66 to 2.61 children per woman. The Age<br />

Structure Forecast for Gwelup is also based on the assumption<br />

that a considerable percentage <strong>of</strong> the population will ‘age in place’<br />

until 2031.<br />

2006<br />

2016<br />

2031<br />

CITY OF STIRLING 28<br />

<strong>KARRINYUP</strong>-<strong>GWELUP</strong> LOCAL AREA PLAN<br />

February 2010

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