Opportunities for the smallholder sandalwood industry in ... - ACIAR
Opportunities for the smallholder sandalwood industry in ... - ACIAR
Opportunities for the smallholder sandalwood industry in ... - ACIAR
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There<strong>for</strong>e, as supply cont<strong>in</strong>ues to decl<strong>in</strong>e over <strong>the</strong><br />
short term, some markets are likely to be lost. Fur<strong>the</strong>r<br />
engagement with <strong>the</strong> market <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> future would<br />
be required to rega<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong>se markets <strong>for</strong> plantationsourced<br />
products.<br />
The reduction <strong>in</strong> <strong>sandalwood</strong> supply has also<br />
resulted <strong>in</strong> <strong>sandalwood</strong> oil be<strong>in</strong>g replaced by poorer<br />
quality blended oils <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> bottom end of <strong>the</strong> fragrance<br />
oil market. This has had a negative impact on<br />
buyer confidence and <strong><strong>in</strong>dustry</strong> credibility (Adviser<br />
Edge 2008) and fur<strong>the</strong>r stresses <strong>the</strong> need <strong>for</strong> appropriate<br />
certification systems and product standards<br />
with<strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>in</strong>dustry</strong>.<br />
Substitutes<br />
The supply and demand of <strong>sandalwood</strong>, and <strong>the</strong><br />
price of substitute products <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> market, will be<br />
important factors <strong>in</strong> <strong>in</strong>fluenc<strong>in</strong>g market conditions<br />
<strong>for</strong> <strong>sandalwood</strong> products <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> future. Syn<strong>the</strong>tic<br />
<strong>sandalwood</strong> oil can be used <strong>in</strong> low-cost products such<br />
as budget perfumes and cosmetics (Clarke 2006).<br />
Although substitutes have previously been developed,<br />
markets have differentiated syn<strong>the</strong>tic copies and valued<br />
<strong>the</strong>m accord<strong>in</strong>gly (Adviser Edge 2008). These<br />
syn<strong>the</strong>tics are likely to limit future price <strong>in</strong>creases <strong>for</strong><br />
natural products, particularly those of a lower grade.<br />
Plantations<br />
Australia is already a major contributor to <strong>the</strong><br />
<strong>in</strong>ternational <strong>sandalwood</strong> market, harvest<strong>in</strong>g approximately<br />
2,300 tonnes of native Australian <strong>sandalwood</strong><br />
(S. spicatum) <strong>in</strong> Western Australia. The decl<strong>in</strong><strong>in</strong>g<br />
production of Indian <strong>sandalwood</strong> <strong>in</strong> India, and <strong>the</strong><br />
eventual harvest of Indian and Australian <strong>sandalwood</strong><br />
from Australian plantations should see Australia<br />
become <strong>the</strong> largest global producer by 2020.<br />
By 2021, it is expected that <strong>the</strong> Australian<br />
harvest of Indian <strong>sandalwood</strong> heartwood could<br />
reach 8,800 tonnes per year, while <strong>the</strong> harvest of<br />
Australian <strong>sandalwood</strong> heartwood is expected to<br />
reach 3,195 tonnes per year (Adviser Edge 2008).<br />
Given <strong>the</strong> rapid escalation <strong>in</strong> Australian production<br />
anticipated from 2014 onwards, it will be important<br />
<strong>for</strong> Indian <strong>sandalwood</strong> and Australian <strong>sandalwood</strong><br />
plantation managers to cont<strong>in</strong>ue explor<strong>in</strong>g and<br />
develop<strong>in</strong>g markets. This will help to mitigate any<br />
potential price adjustments that may occur due to<br />
<strong>in</strong>creased global supply <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> future (Adviser Edge<br />
2008). The <strong>in</strong>crease <strong>in</strong> global supplies of <strong>sandalwood</strong><br />
will also affect <strong>the</strong> pric<strong>in</strong>g and market<strong>in</strong>g of Vanuatu<br />
<strong>sandalwood</strong>. Differentiation of Vanuatu <strong>sandalwood</strong><br />
from o<strong>the</strong>r plantation products through <strong>the</strong> use of<br />
its local species with high santalol content, organic<br />
production and association with poor <strong>smallholder</strong><br />
farmers will enable it to cont<strong>in</strong>ue its market niche<br />
and limit abrupt downward price adjustments. Failure<br />
to adequately differentiate Vanuatu <strong>sandalwood</strong><br />
products from those of Australia, India and Ch<strong>in</strong>a<br />
will lead to direct competition with <strong>the</strong>se suppliers.<br />
Despite <strong>the</strong> current strong demand <strong>for</strong> <strong>sandalwood</strong><br />
<strong>in</strong> world markets and supply shortfalls, it is<br />
uncerta<strong>in</strong> how <strong>the</strong> <strong>in</strong>ternational market will react<br />
when significant volumes of product come onto <strong>the</strong><br />
market from Australian and later Ch<strong>in</strong>ese plantations.<br />
It can be expected that an <strong>in</strong>creased supply will place<br />
a downward pressure on prices, but by how much<br />
will ultimately depend on <strong>the</strong> market conditions at<br />
<strong>the</strong> time of sale and <strong>the</strong> ability of <strong>the</strong> <strong><strong>in</strong>dustry</strong> to<br />
develop and implement appropriate market strategies<br />
(AAG 2006). It is probable that much of <strong>the</strong> new<br />
plantation-derived product will be absorbed by <strong>the</strong><br />
current unsatisfied markets, but <strong>the</strong> level of such<br />
demand is as yet unquantified.<br />
Sandalwood plant<strong>in</strong>gs <strong>in</strong> <strong>the</strong> South Pacific islands<br />
are much smaller and more widely dispersed than<br />
those <strong>in</strong> Western Australia. Pacific island plantations<br />
of <strong>sandalwood</strong> run considerable risks from tropical<br />
cyclones, fire, Phell<strong>in</strong>us noxius fungus, <strong>the</strong>ft and<br />
rights of ownership. However, compared with <strong>the</strong><br />
plantations be<strong>in</strong>g developed <strong>in</strong> Western Australia,<br />
Pacific island producers have several advantages,<br />
such as more rapid growth and shorter rotations <strong>for</strong><br />
<strong>the</strong> production of valuable heartwood, lower <strong>in</strong>puts<br />
(Thomson 2008), lower cost of land and organic<br />
production.<br />
It is vitally important that <strong>the</strong> Vanuatu <strong>sandalwood</strong><br />
<strong><strong>in</strong>dustry</strong> develops and implements appropriate <strong><strong>in</strong>dustry</strong><br />
development and market<strong>in</strong>g strategies <strong>in</strong> advance<br />
of <strong>the</strong> expected <strong>in</strong>creases <strong>in</strong> Australian plantation<br />
production and clearly differentiates <strong>the</strong> Vanuatu<br />
<strong><strong>in</strong>dustry</strong> and Vanuatu <strong>sandalwood</strong> products from<br />
larger scale <strong>in</strong>ternational competitors.<br />
Future demand<br />
Factors <strong>in</strong>fluenc<strong>in</strong>g demand <strong>in</strong> ‘eastern’ markets<br />
<strong>in</strong>clude <strong>in</strong>creas<strong>in</strong>g prosperity, a grow<strong>in</strong>g market<br />
and consumer preference <strong>for</strong> natural products, and<br />
significant growth <strong>in</strong> demand from Ch<strong>in</strong>a. The major<br />
commercial end uses of <strong>sandalwood</strong> <strong>in</strong> ‘western’<br />
markets are as a key component <strong>in</strong> f<strong>in</strong>e fragrances,<br />
toiletries, aroma<strong>the</strong>rapy and <strong>in</strong>cense, and as an <strong>in</strong>sect<br />
repellent. Factors <strong>in</strong>fluenc<strong>in</strong>g demand <strong>in</strong> Western<br />
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