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Our 2011 election manifesto - Labour Party

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elatively high level of home ownership compared to other countries, what has become clear<br />

is that the issue of housing affordability in New Zealand is structural not cyclical.<br />

While products that improve access such as those discussed earlier are important, they will<br />

not address the ongoing issue of affordability.<br />

Housing affordability is often measured by comparing household income to house prices.<br />

This is the measurement used by the Demographia annual index which has in recent years<br />

consistently described New Zealand as “severely unaffordable”. While this gives a snapshot<br />

of affordability at the time of purchase, it is not an accurate measure of ongoing ability to<br />

meet mortgage repayments.<br />

For this reason the better measurement of housing affordability is the Debt Service Ratio<br />

(DSR). Internationally a DSR of 30% is deemed to be the upper limit for affordability. Yet<br />

most households go into home ownership with DSR's between 40 and 50%.<br />

Those moving into home ownership should have the security of knowing that the largest<br />

mortgage payment they will ever have to make will be their first. Home ownership used to<br />

bring certainty to household budgets, and an incentive for people to move from renting to<br />

home ownership, but it is now one of the most unpredictable elements of a household<br />

budget.<br />

New Zealand's 2 and 5 year mortgage rates are almost double those in other comparable<br />

countries.<br />

What this means is that if you take a family on $70,000 household income with a $350,000<br />

mortgage, in the UK this would mean annual repayments of $23,112 and a DSR of 33%. In<br />

New Zealand the same family would face annual repayments of $31,860 and a DSR of 46%.<br />

With two year rates the disparity is even worse with New Zealand being at least 77% more<br />

expensive than the UK, USA and Canada.<br />

This is despite the OCR being at historically low levels due to the global financial crisis. As<br />

the OCR is only likely to rise from here, it is clear that current fixed term interest rates are not<br />

going to drop any further if we carry on with business as usual.<br />

If interest rates could be reduced and stabilised a large part of the affordability problem<br />

would be addressed.<br />

Addressing housing affordability sustainably will require a structural change in the way our<br />

economy operates. High fixed mortgage interest rates are driven by our current account<br />

deficit and our need to borrow significantly offshore due to a lack of investment capital<br />

available in New Zealand. <strong>Labour</strong>'s savings and taxation plans are designed to address<br />

these issues and are therefore pivotal in getting us on the path back to housing affordability.<br />

<strong>Labour</strong> will expand KiwiSaver to provide the basis for a significantly higher private<br />

saving rate and additional security in retirement:<br />

KiwiSaver will be compulsory for every employee aged 18 to 65 from 2014<br />

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