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CP10 (Full Document) - European Banking Authority

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characteristics should approximate those of the corresponding<br />

institution’s current portfolio.<br />

· Material observed differences in the key characteristics used for<br />

estimation are relevant information in the sense of Annex VII,<br />

Part 4, Paragraph 49, and should be taken into account in<br />

estimations by making appropriate adjustments. If adjustments<br />

are difficult to quantify, the institution should consider the use of<br />

other data sets.<br />

· Statistical tools may be used to quantify and ensure the evidence.<br />

Data used for developing models for exposure assignment or risk<br />

parameter estimation (representativeness)<br />

313. The representativeness requirement of Annex VII, Part 4, Paragraph<br />

31(c) applies both to models and other mechanical methods used to<br />

assign exposures to grades or pools, and to statistical default<br />

prediction models generating default­probability estimates for<br />

individual obligors (see Annex VII, Part 4, Paragraph 65). The<br />

interpretation of ‘representative’ includes the following points (points<br />

1, 3 and 4 are also valid for the estimation of risk parameters):<br />

· Representativeness in the sense of Paragraph 31(c) should be<br />

interpreted similarly, regardless of the source of the data:<br />

internal, external and pooled data sets, or the combination of<br />

those.<br />

· Representativeness for the assignment of obligors does not<br />

require that the proportion of defaulted and non­defaulted<br />

exposures in the data set be equal to the proportion of defaulted<br />

and non­defaulted exposures in the institution’s respective<br />

portfolio.<br />

· For analysing the representativeness of the sample with respect<br />

to the population of the institution, all key characteristics<br />

(quantitative and qualitative obligor and facility characteristics)<br />

that could relate to default (for PD estimation), loss (for LGD<br />

estimation), or additional drawings (for CF estimation) should be<br />

taken into account. The analysis should be based on these<br />

characteristics or on a mapping from one set of characteristics to<br />

the other. For instance, the analysis could include considering the<br />

distribution of the population according to the key characteristics<br />

and the level and range of these key characteristics. Material<br />

observed differences in the key characteristics should be avoided,<br />

for example by using another sample.<br />

· Where applicable, the use of statistical methodologies (such as<br />

cluster analysis or related techniques) to demonstrate<br />

representativeness should be recommended.<br />

· The CRD does not contain requirements on the definitions of<br />

default and loss used in building the model for assignments of<br />

obligors or exposures to grades or pools. Institutions are allowed<br />

to use their own definitions provided they document them and<br />

apply them consistently, and as long as the CRD’s requirement<br />

Page 72 of 123

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