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CP10 (Full Document) - European Banking Authority

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Pooled data sets<br />

for good predictive power (Annex VII, Part 4, Paragraph 31 (a)) is<br />

fulfilled. The institution should ensure, however, that deviations<br />

from the definitions provided in the CRD are not too great and<br />

that the definition of default used results in a ranking of obligors<br />

or exposures similar to that which would result from the CRD’s<br />

definition.<br />

314. Annex VII, Part 4, Paragraph 57(b) of the CRD requires that “the<br />

pool shall be representative for the portfolio for which the pooled<br />

data is used.” The interpretation of ‘representative’ in the context of<br />

data pools includes the following points:<br />

· Representativeness should be demonstrated according to<br />

plausible criteria that have been set in advance in a general<br />

policy.<br />

· These criteria could include the comparability of populations of<br />

exposures in the relevant parts of the pool.<br />

· In the case of pooled data, the default definition used by an<br />

institution for any part of the pool should be similar to the default<br />

definition used for that part by the other institutions in the pool.<br />

Any underestimation of risk that might result from applying<br />

similar default definitions must be avoided. Institutions should<br />

particularly avoid curtailing their use of ‘unlikeliness to pay’<br />

indicators in order to achieve this similarity in default definitions.<br />

· Where applicable, the use of appropriate statistical methods to<br />

demonstrate representativeness should be recommended.<br />

Use of data histories<br />

315. Annex VII, Part 4, Paragraph 50 requires institutions to demonstrate that<br />

their estimates of the risk parameters are representative of long­run<br />

experience. Representativeness, in the context of Paragraph 50, means<br />

that the estimates based a future time horizon of one year nevertheless<br />

reflect at least the relevant events experienced by the institution in the<br />

past over a longer time period.<br />

3.4.4. Data sources and definition of default<br />

316. If institutions use external data sets for risk parameter estimation,<br />

they should apply appropriate adjustments to their estimates in<br />

order to achieve broad equivalence to the reference definition in the<br />

CRD. In the case of pooled data, the definition of default used by the<br />

institution for any part of the pool/data set should be similar to the<br />

default definition used for that part by the other institutions in the<br />

pool, as required by Annex VII, Part 4, Paragraph 57(a).<br />

317. Special considerations for default definitions of pooled data sets: for<br />

data sets collected from the same market, the similarity of the<br />

definition of default could be checked by examining the wording of<br />

Page 73 of 123

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