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82 THIRD WHO REPORT ON NEGLECTED TROPICAL DISEASES<br />

***<br />

4.3 Dengue<br />

Introduction<br />

Dengue is a mosquito-borne viral disease of public-health significance that has affected all<br />

regions of WHO since 2010. The flavivirus is transmitted by female mosquitoes mainly<br />

of the species Aedes aegypti and, to a lesser extent, Ae. albopictus.<br />

Investment case<br />

Dengue, a rapidly spreading vector-borne disease, is endemic in more than 100<br />

countries and affects travellers and local communities worldwide. Today, hundreds of<br />

thousands of severe dengue cases arise every year, including about 3000 deaths. The cost of<br />

ambulatory care and hospitalization is unaffordable for poor people. In Cambodia and Viet<br />

Nam, between half and two-thirds of affected households have incurred debt as a result<br />

of treatment. 1,2 The economic burden of the disease is already measured in the billions<br />

of dollars annually. 3,4,5 Environmental change and urbanization are conspiring to elevate<br />

the cost even further beyond the reach of health systems and households. Fortunately,<br />

outbreaks are preventable if detected and managed early. In 2006, the second edition of<br />

the Disease Control Priorities Project put the cost per DALY averted by sustained vector<br />

control at less than US$ 3500 using environmental management and less than US$ 2000<br />

using insecticides. More recent evidence suggests the number might be even lower. 6 (See<br />

the Technical Appendix for further references on cost and cost−effectiveness of vector<br />

control interventions.)<br />

The investment target for sustained vector control is US$ 510 million (US$ 440–580 million)<br />

per year during 2015–2030. This range does not fully reflect uncertainty about the size and<br />

distribution of the population at risk, especially in Africa. It probably underestimates the<br />

cost of sustained vector control for all populations at risk. Nonetheless, these conservative<br />

estimates indicate that vector control will be of increasing importance within the NTD<br />

portfolio. The investments are significant, but less than the costs of the alternatives. A<br />

review of the literature suggests that the cost of sustained vector control is lower than that<br />

of outbreak response. 7<br />

The introduction of a highly effective vaccine against dengue may re-programme some of<br />

the investments in vector control towards immunization but is unlikely to obviate the need<br />

for it. The available models suggests that vector control will remain cost−effective in the<br />

presence of a vaccine. 8,9,10 Vector control may enhance the cost−effectiveness of a mediumefficacy<br />

vaccine, or a vaccine that is highly effective but only against one of the four dengue

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