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Interim Report - TEEB

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Map 2.1: Plant species per ecoregion (Kier et al. 2005, J. Biogeog. 32:1107)<br />

Species number<br />

per ecoregion<br />

10,000<br />

0<br />

Map 2.2: Agricultural returns (Strassburg et al. 2008, based on data from Naidoo & Iwamura. 2007. Biol. Conserv. 140: 40)<br />

US$ per hectare<br />

1,800<br />

0<br />

incentives to conserve those natural habitats and species<br />

locally that clearly have wider benefits globally.<br />

It is clear that if we undermine the natural functions that<br />

hold this planet together, we may be creating conditions<br />

that will make life increasingly difficult for generations to<br />

come – and impossible for those already on the margins<br />

of survival.<br />

GROWTH AND DEVELOPMENT<br />

Population growth, increasing wealth and changing<br />

consumption patterns underlie many of the trends we<br />

have described. Unsustainable resource use has been<br />

evident in the developed world for many years. The<br />

ecological footprints of Europe, the United States of America<br />

and Japan are much higher than those of developing<br />

countries. And the emerging economies are catching up.<br />

India and China both have ecological footprints twice the size<br />

of their “biocapacities” (Goldman Sachs 2007) – the extent to<br />

which their ecosystems can generate a sustainable supply of<br />

renewable resources. Brazil, on the other hand, has one of<br />

the world’s highest “biocapacities”, nearly five times as large<br />

as its ecological footprint, yet this is declining as a result of<br />

deforestation (Goldman Sachs 2007).<br />

Under current practices, meeting the food needs of<br />

growing and increasingly affluent populations will further<br />

threaten biodiversity and ecosystem services. Based on<br />

population projections alone, 50% more food than is<br />

currently produced will be required to feed the global<br />

population by 2050 (United Nations Department of<br />

Economic and Social Affairs/Population Division 2008).<br />

Irrigated crop production will need to increase by 80% by<br />

2030 to match demand.<br />

Already, 35% of the Earth’s surface has been converted for<br />

agriculture, limiting scope for the future productivity of natural<br />

systems (Millennium Ecosystem Assessment 2005b). The<br />

livestock sector already represents the world’s single largest<br />

human use of land. Grazing land covers 26% of the Earth’s<br />

surface, while animal feed crops account for about a third of<br />

Biodiversity, ecosystems and human welfare<br />

19

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