Canadian Mining Industry Employment and Hiring Forecasts - MiHR

More documents

Recommendations

Info

if metal and mineral prices decline, there is a possibility that hiring requirements in the Atlantic region will decline, as shown in the industry contractionary scenario. Table 11 Cumulative Hiring Requirements Forecasts – Atlantic Region By Scenario – 2012, 2015, 2020 Cumulative Hiring Requirements 2012 2015 2020 Contractionary −90 −350 −520 Baseline 1,020 1,610 2,530 Expansionary 2,040 3,410 5,250 Source: Mining Industry Human Resources Council, Summer 2010. Figure 16 illustrates Atlantic region hiring requirements on a year-over-year basis for the baseline scenario. Total employment will decline throughout the forecast period, based on the outlook for commodity prices and steady productivity gains. However, largely because of replacement demands, the industry will need to hire between 400 and 550 workers each year. Figure 16 Total Hiring Requirements Forecasts – Atlantic Region Baseline Scenario – 2010 to 2020 600 Change in Employment Non-Retirement Retirement 500 400 Number of Workers Required 300 200 100 0 –100 –200 –300 –400 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Source: Mining Industry Human Resources Council, Summer 2010. 36 Mining Industry Workforce Information Network
In reference to specific occupations, hiring requirements in the Atlantic region under the baseline scenario will be greatest for heavy-equipment operators (except crane) and underground production and development miners, as shown in Table 12. Table 12 Cumulative Hiring Requirements of Top 10 Occupations in Atlantic Region Baseline Scenario – 2012, 2015, 2020 TOP 10 OCCUPATIONS CUMULATIVE HIRING REQUIREMENTS 2012 2015 2020 Heavy equipment operators (except crane) 89 141 222 Underground production and development miners 64 101 158 Truck drivers 43 68 107 Welders and related machine operators 42 66 104 Construction millwrights and industrial mechanics (except textile) 42 66 103 Heavy-duty equipment mechanics 34 54 85 Supervisors, mining and quarrying 31 49 78 Industrial electricians 31 49 77 Mine labourers 26 40 63 Steamfitters, pipefitters and sprinkler system installers 20 32 50 Source: Mining Industry Human Resources Council, Summer 2010. Quebec Forecasted iron ore prices in conjunction with productivity increases are expected to reduce overall mining employment in Quebec by close to 20 per cent by 2020. Nevertheless, due to the age of the workforce and other replacement needs, hiring requirements are significant. As shown in Table 13, over the next three years (to 2012), 2,850 workers will need to be hired under the baseline scenario. This estimate increases to 14,450 workers by 2020. The cumulative hiring requirements for Quebec in 2020 range from 7,880 workers in the contractionary scenario to 19,560 workers in the expansionary scenario. Table 13 Cumulative Hiring Requirements Forecasts – Quebec By Scenario – 2012, 2015, 2020 Cumulative Hiring Requirements 2012 2015 2020 Contractionary 630 1,500 7,880 Baseline 2,850 5,370 14,450 Expansionary 4,850 8,630 19,560 Source: Mining Industry Human Resources Council, Summer 2010. 2010 Employment and Hiring Forecasts 37
Page 1 and 2: Canadian Mining Industry Employment
Page 3 and 4: Table of Contents Executive Summary
Page 5 and 6: List of Tables and Figures Table 1
Page 7 and 8: Executive Summary The Canadian mini
Page 9 and 10: Table 1 Total Hiring Requirements F
Page 11: Occupational Forecasts of Employmen
Page 14 and 15: Background A main strategic objecti
Page 16 and 17: The NOC-S system 4 was developed by
Page 18 and 19: Table 4 Canada’s Top 10 Minerals
Page 20 and 21: Figure 3 Labour Productivity and Em
Page 22 and 23: under-represented groups. As noted
Page 24 and 25: Figure 7 Average Benchmark Hourly W
Page 26 and 27: Results from MiHR’s 2010 National
Page 28 and 29: Figure 11 Proportion of Mining Work
Page 30 and 31: In 2010, Women in Mining (WIM) Cana
Page 32 and 33: Immigrants to Canada — particular
Page 34 and 35: • an online portal where stakehol
Page 36 and 37: Table 7 presents the cumulative cha
Page 38 and 39: Table 9 Cumulative Hiring Requireme
Page 40 and 41: The top occupations in terms of hir
Page 44 and 45: As shown in Figure 17, changes in e
Page 46 and 47: Figure 18 Total Hiring Requirements
Page 48 and 49: Table 17 Cumulative Hiring Requirem
Page 50 and 51: Table 20 shows the occupations with
Page 53 and 54: 4 Discussion In the near future, th
Page 55 and 56: Appendix A This appendix outlines t
Page 57 and 58: Appendix B This Appendix lists the
Page 60: www.mihr.ca • www.mininghrforecas

Canadian Mining Industry Employment and Hiring Forecasts - MiHR

You also want an ePaper? Increase the reach of your titles

Delete template?

Save as template?