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International Energy Outlook 2011 - EIA

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U.S. <strong>Energy</strong> Information Administration | <strong>International</strong> <strong>Energy</strong> <strong>Outlook</strong> <strong>2011</strong><br />

World energy demand and economic outlook<br />

Investment in the countries of Central and South America is constrained by adverse economic circumstances, and revenues<br />

from commodities exports are not expected to provide the level of government revenue that were seen from 2003 to 2008. The<br />

proximity of the region to the United States and the trade relationships of its national economies with the U.S. economy suggest<br />

that the region’s recovery will be linked, in part, to the pace of the U.S. recovery. Even so, the long-term prospects for Central and<br />

South America remain positive. Most countries in the region have flexible exchange rates, positive trade balances, and relatively<br />

low fiscal deficits and public debts. Regional inflation is lower than it was in the mid-1990s, and a relatively young labor force<br />

supports the region’s economic growth prospects over the next 30 years. Economic growth in Central and South America averages<br />

3.8 percent per year from 2008 to 2035 in the IEO<strong>2011</strong> Reference case, as the region benefits from the expected recovery in world<br />

economic growth after 2010, and foreign capital flows are revived.<br />

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