International Energy Outlook 2011 - EIA

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Figures (continued) U.S. Energy Information Administration | International Energy Outlook 2011 Contents World energy demand and economic outlook 12. World energy consumption, 1990-2035 ................................................................................................................................... 10 13. Energy consumption in the United States, China, and India, 1990-2035 ................................................................................ 10 14. Non-OECD energy consumption, 1990-2035 .......................................................................................................................... 10 15. World energy consumption by fuel, 1990-2035 ........................................................................................................................ 11 16. World natural gas consumption by end-use sector, 2008-2035 ............................................................................................... 11 17. World net electricity generation by fuel type, 2008-2035 ......................................................................................................... 12 18. Renewable electricity generation in China by source, 2008-2035 ........................................................................................... 12 19. World nuclear generating capacity, 2008 and 2035 ................................................................................................................. 13 20. World delivered residential energy consumption, 2008-2035 .................................................................................................. 14 21. World delivered commercial energy consumption, 2008-2035 ................................................................................................ 15 22. World delivered industrial energy consumption, 2008-2035 .................................................................................................... 15 23. World delivered transportation energy consumption, 2008-2035 ............................................................................................. 17 24. OECD and non-OECD total gross domestic product, 1990-2035 ............................................................................................ 17 25. OECD gross domestic product growth rates by country grouping, 2008-2035 ........................................................................ 17 26. Non-OECD gross domestic product growth rates by country grouping, 2008-2035 ................................................................ 19 Liquid fuels 27. World liquid fuels consumption by region, 1990-2035 ............................................................................................................. 25 28. World liquid fuels production, 1990-2035 ................................................................................................................................. 25 29. Non-OPEC liquids production by region, 2008 and 2035 ........................................................................................................ 27 30. Unconventional liquids production by fuel type, 2008 and 2035 .............................................................................................. 27 31. World oil prices in three cases, 1990-2035 .............................................................................................................................. 27 32. World liquid fuels production in five cases, 2008 and 2035 ..................................................................................................... 27 33. World liquids consumption by sector, 2008-2035 ..................................................................................................................... 29 34. World liquids consumption by region and country group, 2008 and 2035 ............................................................................... 29 35. World total liquid fuels production, 1990-2035 ......................................................................................................................... 30 36. Non-OPEC conventional liquids production by region, 2008 and 2035 ................................................................................... 31 37. OPEC conventional liquids production by country and region, 2008 and 2035 ....................................................................... 35 38. Unconventional liquids production in five cases, 2008 and 2035 ............................................................................................ 36 39. World proved oil reserves by geographic region as of January 1, 2011 .................................................................................. 38 Natural gas 40. World natural gas consumption, 2008-2035 ............................................................................................................................ 43 41. Change in world natural gas production by region, 2008-2035 ............................................................................................... 43 42. Natural gas production in China, Canada, and the United States, 2008 and 2035 ................................................................. 44 43. Natural gas consumption in OECD Americas by country, 2008-2035 ...................................................................................... 44 44. Natural gas consumption in OECD Europe by end-use sector, 2008-2035 ............................................................................. 45 45. Natural gas consumption in OECD Asia by country and end-use sector, 2008 and 2035 ....................................................... 45 46. Natural gas consumption in non-OECD Europe and Eurasia, 2008-2035 ............................................................................... 48 47. Natural gas consumption in non-OECD Asia by country, 2008-2035 ....................................................................................... 48 48. OECD natural gas production by country, 1990-2035 .............................................................................................................. 51 49. OECD Europe natural gas production, 1990-2035 .................................................................................................................. 51 50. Middle East natural gas production, 1990-2035....................................................................................................................... 54 51. Non-OECD Europe and Eurasia natural gas production, 1992-2035 ...................................................................................... 54 52. Africa natural gas production, 1990-2035 ................................................................................................................................ 55 53. Non-OECD Asia natural gas production, 1990-2035 ............................................................................................................... 56 54. China natural gas production, 1990-2035 ................................................................................................................................ 56 55. Non-OECD Central and South America natural gas production, 1990-2035 ........................................................................... 57 56. OECD Americas net natural gas trade, 2008-2035 .................................................................................................................. 58 57. OECD Asia net natural gas trade, 2008-2035 .......................................................................................................................... 60 58. Non-OECD Europe and Eurasia net natural gas trade, 2008-2035 ......................................................................................... 61 59. Middle East net natural gas trade, 2008-2035 ......................................................................................................................... 61 60. Africa net natural gas trade, 2008-2035 ................................................................................................................................... 62 61. Non-OECD Asia net natural gas trade, 2008-2035 .................................................................................................................. 63 62. Non-OECD Central and South America net natural gas trade, 2008-2035 .............................................................................. 63 63. World natural gas reserves by region, 1980-2011 ................................................................................................................... 64 64. World natural gas reserves by geographic region as of January 1, 2011 ................................................................................ 64 Coal 65. World coal consumption by region, 1980-2035 ........................................................................................................................ 69 66. Coal share of world energy consumption by sector, 2008, 2020 and 2035 ............................................................................. 69 67. OECD coal consumption by region, 1980, 2008, 2020 and 2035 ............................................................................................ 70 vii
Contents Figures (continued) viii 68. Non-OECD coal consumption by region, 1980, 2008, 2020 and 2035 .................................................................................... 71 69. Coal share of China’s energy consumption by sector, 2008, 2020, and 2035 ......................................................................... 71 70. World coal imports by major importing region, 1995-2035 ....................................................................................................... 74 71. Coal imports to Asia by major importing region, 2008 and 2035.............................................................................................. 74 Electricity 72. Growth in world electricity generation and total delivered energy consumption, 1990-2035 ................................................... 85 73. OECD and non-OECD net electricity generation, 1990-2035 .................................................................................................. 85 74. Non-OECD net electricity generation by region, 1990-2035 .................................................................................................... 86 75. World net electricity generation by fuel, 2008-2035 ................................................................................................................. 87 76. World net electricity generation from nuclear power by region, 2008-2035 ............................................................................. 88 77. OECD Americas net electricity generation by region, 2008-2035 ............................................................................................ 92 78. OECD Americas net electricity generation by fuel, 2008 and 2035 ......................................................................................... 92 79. OECD Europe net electricity generation by fuel, 2008-2035 ................................................................................................... 94 80. OECD Asia net electricity generation by region, 2008-2035 .................................................................................................... 95 81. Non-OECD Europe and Eurasia net electricity generation by region, 2008-2035 ................................................................... 96 82. Non-OECD Asia net electricity generation by fuel, 2008-2035 ................................................................................................ 97 83. Middle East net electricity generation by fuel, 2008-2035........................................................................................................ 99 84. Net electricity generation in Africa by fuel, 2008-2035 ............................................................................................................. 100 85. Net electricity generation in Brazil by fuel, 2008-2035 ............................................................................................................. 101 86. Other Central and South America net electricity generation by fuel, 2008-2035 ..................................................................... 101 Industrial sector energy consumption 87. Annual changes in world industrial and all other end-use energy consumption from previous year, 2007-2011 .................... 108 88. World delivered energy consumption in the industrial and all other end-use sectors, 2005-2035 ........................................... 108 89. OECD and non-OECD industrial sector energy consumption, 2008-2035 .............................................................................. 108 90. World industrial sector energy consumption by fuel, 2008 and 2035 ....................................................................................... 109 91. OECD industrial sector energy consumption by fuel, 2008 and 2035...................................................................................... 109 92. Non-OECD industrial sector energy consumption by fuel, 2008 and 2035 .............................................................................. 109 93. World industrial sector energy consumption by major energy-intensive industry shares, 2008 ............................................... 110 94. OECD and non-OECD major steel producers, 2009................................................................................................................ 110 95. U.S.industrial sector energy consumption by fuel, 2008 and 2035 .......................................................................................... 112 96. Canada industrial sector energy consumption by fuel, 2008 and 2035 ................................................................................... 112 97. OECD Europe industrial sector energy consumption by fuel, 2008 and 2035 ......................................................................... 113 98. Australia/New Zealand industrial sector energy consumption by fuel, 2008 and 2035 ............................................................ 114 99. China industrial sector energy consumption by fuel, 2008 and 2035 ...................................................................................... 114 100. Brazil industrial sector energy consumption by fuel, 2008 and 2035 ....................................................................................... 116 Transportation sector energy consumption 101. World liquids consumption by end-use sector, 2008-2035 ....................................................................................................... 119 102. OECD and non-OECD transportation sector liquids consumption, 2008-2035........................................................................ 119 103. OECD Americas transportation energy use by country, 2008 and 2035 .................................................................................. 121 104. OECD Asia transportation energy use by country, 2008-2035 ................................................................................................. 124 105. Non-OECD transportation energy use by region, 2008-2035 .................................................................................................. 125 106. Non-OECD Asia transportation energy use by country, 2008-2035 ......................................................................................... 126 107. Non-OECD Europe and Eurasia transportation energy use by country, 2008-2035 ................................................................ 129 108. Transportation energy use in the Middle East and Africa, 2008-2035 ..................................................................................... 129 109. Central and South America transportation energy use by country, 2008-2035 ........................................................................ 131 Energy-related carbon dioxide emissions 110. World energy-related carbon dioxide emissions, 1990-2035 ................................................................................................... 139 111. World energy-related carbon dioxide emissions by fuel type, 1990-2035 ................................................................................ 139 112. OECD and non-OECD energy-related carbon dioxide emissions by fuel type, 1990-2035 ..................................................... 140 113. Average annual growth of energy-related carbon dioxide emissions in OECD economies, 2008-2035 .................................. 140 114. Average annual growth of energy-related carbon dioxide emissions in non-OECD economies, 2008-2035 ........................... 140 115. Increases in carbon dioxide emissions by fuel type for regions with highest absolute emissions growth, 2008-2035 ............ 143 116. Cumulative carbon dioxide emissions by region, 1991-2005, 2006-2020, and 2021-2035 ..................................................... 143 117. Average annual changes in Kaya decomposition components of non-OECD carbon dioxide emissions growth, 1990-2008 and 2008-2035 ....................................................................................................................................................... 145 118. Average annual changes in Kaya decomposition components of OECD carbon dioxide emissions growth, 1990-2008 and 2008-2035 ....................................................................................................................................................... 145 U.S. Energy Information Administration | International Energy Outlook 2011
Page 2 and 3: Contacts The International Energy O
Page 4 and 5: U.S. Energy Information Administrat
Page 6 and 7: Contents Highlights ...............
Page 10 and 11: Highlights In the IEO2011 Reference
Page 16 and 17: levels of income and fossil fuel us
Page 18 and 19: Chapter 1 World energy demand and e
Page 34 and 35: Chapter 2 Liquid fuels Overview Con
Page 52 and 53: Chapter 3 Natural gas Overview In t
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U.S. Energy Information Administrat
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References for natural gas Links cu
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Chapter 4 Coal Overview In the IEO2
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decline substantially over the proj
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demand for steel in both domestic a
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Table 9. World coal flows by import
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Europe, Middle East, and Africa In
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process could impede or delay those
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References for coal Links current a
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Mechel OAO Commences Construction o
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Chapter 5 Electricity Overview In t
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Chapter 6 Industrial sector energy
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References for industrial sector en
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Chapter 7 Transportation sector ene
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Chapter 8 Energy-related carbon dio
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Table 18. Average annual changes in
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Data Sources Links current as of Ju
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Appendix A Reference case projectio
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Table A1. World total primary energ
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Table A2. World total energy consum
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Table A4. World gross domestic prod
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Table A6. World natural gas consump
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Table A8. World nuclear energy cons
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Table A10. World carbon dioxide emi
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Table A12. World carbon dioxide emi
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Table A14. World population by regi
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Appendix B High Oil Price case proj
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Table B1. World total primary energ
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Table B4. World liquids consumption
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Table B6. World coal consumption by
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Table B8. World consumption of hydr
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Table B12. World carbon dioxide emi
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Appendix C Low Oil Price case proje
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Table C1. World total primary energ
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Table C4. World liquids consumption
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Table C6. World coal consumption by
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Table C8. World consumption of hydr
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Table C12. World carbon dioxide emi
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Appendix D Reference case projectio
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Reference case projections by end-u
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Appendix E Projections of liquid fu
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Projections of liquid fuels and oth
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Table E11. World conventional liqui
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Table E14. World conventional liqui
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Appendix F Reference case projectio
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Reference case projections for elec
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Appendix G Reference case projectio
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Table G1. World total natural gas p
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Table G3. World other natural gas p
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Appendix H Kaya Identity factor pro
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Table H1. World population by regio
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Table H3. World energy intensity by
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Appendix I Comparisons with Interna
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Comparisons with International Ener
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Appendix J Models used to generate
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Appendix K Regional definitions The
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