COMMENTARYCambridge AdvisorsMost of the world’s key equity markets posted gains during thefirst quarter, with the Canadian stock market outperformingits peers when results are reported in Canadian dollars. Thisreflects the increase in the Canadian dollar against othermajor currencies, including the euro, the pound, the yenand the U.S. dollar. Notably, after nearly a year of dislocationof investment fundamentals from performance, marketsreturned to a more normal relationship between the two. Allthree Cambridge portfolios outperformed their benchmarks,as our adherence to a strategy of investing in companies withstrong business fundamentals paid off.Cambridge Canadian Equity Corporate Class waspropelled by overweight positions in the top-performinghealth care sector and two other strong sectors, industrialsand information technology, and by underweighting thesluggish energy and materials sectors. Asset allocation waslittle changed from the end of the fourth quarter of 2009,with the exception of a slight decrease in materials. Thefund was almost fully invested. Among individual holdings,the biggest contributors to performance were Toronto-Dominion Bank, Bombardier and Petrominerales.The fund’s key industrials positions are Canadian NationalRailways, Transforce (trucking), WestJet and Bombardier.We maintained our position in Research In Motion, a top 10holding, as demand for the company’s Blackberry productsremains strong. We have been cautious in our approach tothe energy sector, choosing not to invest based purely onexpectations of high energy prices but rather in companiesthat show good business fundamentals, such as Suncor,which acquired Petro-Canada last year, and CanadianNatural Resources, an oilsands producer.some income-oriented securities with growth-focused equityinvestments, notably in the health care sector. The cashposition was 8% by the end of the period, down fromprevious quarters. Aiding the fund were overweight positionsin industrials, information technology and health care. Itstop-performing holdings were Toronto-Dominion Bank,Keyera Facilities Income Fund and Labrador Iron Ore.Cambridge Global Equity Corporate Class maintainedits focus on larger-cap, high-quality names and a mixtureof some small-cap names, mostly in developed markets.Apart from a few select holdings, we continued to avoiddirect investments in the “BRIC” countries (Brazil, Russia,India and China) because we are finding more appealingvaluations elsewhere. Performance was helped by a largeposition in the financials sector, while other favoured sectors– energy, health care and information technology – alsocontributed. The cash position stood at 10% at the end ofthe period. Top-performing stocks were Senior PLC, Abcamand Autoliv.Despite continuing concerns over high government deficitsand housing starts, we expect the economic recovery tocontinue in the coming months, which should supportequity markets. Interest rates remain low, and central banksare likely to be prudent and maintain this provision ofliquidity. Government intervention has and should continueto be successful in allowing corporate expansion to occurand housing to move forward.Manager: Alan RadloAnalysts: Joe Sylvester, Emi WintererCambridge Canadian Asset Allocation Corporate Classbenefited from a high weighting in equities. We replacedPAGE 34 • SPRING 2010 PERSPECTIVE AS AT MARCH 31, 2010
COMMENTARY<strong>CI</strong> Investment ConsultingMarket overviewThe quarter began with a selloff in Canadian equities inlate January and early February which was precipitated bypassable – but not spectacular – economic data, moves bythe U.S. government to impose new rules on banks andquestions about the financial stability of Greece. With theemergence of stronger economic and earnings numbers, theCanadian equity market rallied and the S&P/TSX CompositeIndex gained 3.1% during the quarter – establishing a new18-month high. Credit concerns in Europe and strongcommodity prices helped push the Canadian dollar throughthe US$0.99 level for the first time in 20 months. The euroand the British pound depreciated 9% against the Canadiandollar, while the Japanese yen lost 4%. Against this backdrop,foreign equity returns reported in Canadian dollars were lessthan stellar. Global markets, as represented by the MS<strong>CI</strong>World Index in Canadian dollars, gained only 0.3%. Inthe U.S., the S&P 500 Index gained 4.9%, its strongest firstquarter since 1998, but the effect in Canadian dollars was arise of only 1.8%.Year-over-year, the S&P/TSX has risen 42.1%, while inCanadian dollars the MS<strong>CI</strong> World Index gained 23.5% andthe S&P 500 rose 19.5%. The shortfall was caused mainly bythe rise in the Canadian dollar.Portfolio performanceAll portfolios posted strong returns during the quarterand have rebounded nicely during this recovery. Thecombination of a prudent asset mix and superior investmentmanagement skills by award-winning portfolio managerssuch as Signature Global Advisors and Harbour Advisorsadded value to the returns. Individual stocks that were majorcontributors during this period included Toronto DominionBank, Apple Computer, Heineken and Rio Tinto.Returns in % 1 Year 3 Years 5 Years 10 Years Since InceptionPortfolio Series Income Fund 17.8 1.5 3.7 5.1 4.8 (Dec. 97)Portfolio Series Balanced Fund 21.6 -2.6 2.9 3.2 6.9 (Nov. 88)Portfolio Series Growth Fund 24.8 -4.6 1.5 n/a 2.2 (Dec. 01)Select 100i Managed Portfolio 11.3 2.9 n/a n/a 3.0 (Nov. 06)Select 50i50e Managed Portfolio 20.9 -1.6 n/a n/a -0.5 (Nov. 06)Select 30i70e Managed Portfolio 24.9 -3.5 n/a n/a -2.1 (Nov. 06)S&P/TSX Composite Index 42.1 0.0 7.4 4.7 n/aS&P 500 Index (C$) 20.7 -8.1 -1.6 -4.2 n/aMS<strong>CI</strong> World Index (C$) 23.5 -8.8 -0.1 -3.1 n/aDEX Universe Bond Index 5.1 5.3 5.2 6.5 n/aPAGE 35 • SPRING 2010 PERSPECTIVE AS AT MARCH 31, 2010
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