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Prosperity and Depression.pdf

Prosperity and Depression.pdf

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Nature <strong>and</strong> Causes ~I the Cycle Part IIincreasingly independent of one another. We shall eventuallyarrive at the very opposite extreme to complete world unificationnamely,complete independence in the monetary systems ofdifferent countries: i.e., completely free exchanges. 1When we were arguing on the assumption of aA "unified closed, spaceless system; we postulated the existencemoney system of SOme basic money such as gold <strong>and</strong> a note circuwithmobility lation on that basis issued by a central bank. Theofcapital. central-bank money (which includes deposits withthe central bank) forms in turn the basis for a creditstructure built up by the commercial banks. Evidently, we must-make some assumptions about the supply of the central-bankmoney : that is to say, we have to define the policy.of the bankofissue in respect to the ratio between the note circulation <strong>and</strong> thegold reserve which it seeks to establish at any given moment oftime.Our previous postulate was maintained when we first introducedthe space factor by" assuming a certain geographical distributionof resources <strong>and</strong> transportation cost for goods <strong>and</strong> services. Thesame money circulated everywhere, <strong>and</strong> the conditions of thesupply of investible funds as furnished by the central bank~ commercialbanks or other" sources were everywhere the same. Wesaw that in this case, in spite ofthe fact that the supply ofinvestiblefunds was uniform-consisting~ as it did, of a single pool to whichwould-be borrowers from all parts ofthe system had equal accesslocalbooms <strong>and</strong> depressions were not excluded because, owmg toa certain localisation of real resources, the dem<strong>and</strong> for investiblefunds might be concentrated in pa.rticular localities.We may conceive of the central-bank money as supplied by asingle institution with branch offices in various localities, all ofwhich pursue the same policy. They issue notes by discountingbills at the same rate (<strong>and</strong> under the same conditions) or bybuying <strong>and</strong> selling securities at the same prices. The cash (gold)reserve-if any-is pooled <strong>and</strong> not kept separately for eachbranch.I" Professor John H. Williams has attempted a similar analysis: U InternationalMonetary Organisation <strong>and</strong> Policy", in Lessons ot MonetaryExperience, New York, 1937. Ct. also Viner, loco cit.

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