Strategic Research and Innovation Agenda for Renewable ... - EGEC

15%2010 20500%2000 2005 2010 2015 2020 202520302035 2040 2045 2050RenewableHeating & CoolingEuropean Technology Platform01000.02895Solar DHPulp & PaperOthersHighOver 400ºCMedium100-400ºCLowbelow 100ºC%90858075702010 2020Geothermal DHBiomass DHDC - Abs. Chillerscosts [EUR/kWh]0.0260.0240.0220.02035Figure 38: Potential evolution of costs for renewable DHC (Source: Euroheat & Power)Reaching high penetration of RES in DHC requires drawing on a variety of heat andcold sources. Therefore, advances in any of the related technologies will influencethe operation and business models of DHC. As shown in Figure 38, renewable energydistributed through DHC networks could achieve cost reductions in the range of 8%to 26%, depending on the advancements of the supply technologies, namely biomass,geothermal and solar thermal.10080Solar ThermalTWh6040GeothermalBiomass2002010 2015 2020 2010 2020 2030Figure 39: Market potential of renewable DHC in Europe (Source: Euroheat and Power)DHC has all the ingredients to play a central role in achieving both 2020 and longer term EU1objectives. Yet, as an interface with many other energy and non-energy processesand with ever-faster changing customer expectations, further research, demonstration andtechnological development are needed to enhance DHC’s application in a futureenergy landscape. A significant expansion of network is possible (Figure 39) at competitiveFlexibilitymarginal costs (Figure 40) to achieve a substantial penetration of RES in urban areas, basedon integrated planning of energy generation and access to locally available sources of heat.1008060401970 2020020090%63