A Simple Poverty Scorecard for the Philippines

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Figure 5 (USD4.32/day 1993 PPP line): Derivation ofestimated poverty likelihoods associated with scoresHouseholds below All households Poverty likelihoodScore poverty line at score (estimated, %)0–4 843 ÷ 848 = 99.55–9 1,768 ÷ 1,801 = 98.210–14 2,388 ÷ 2,475 = 96.515–19 3,215 ÷ 3,400 = 94.520–24 4,749 ÷ 5,198 = 91.425–29 4,493 ÷ 5,295 = 84.930–34 5,578 ÷ 7,006 = 79.635–39 5,936 ÷ 8,519 = 69.740–44 5,105 ÷ 8,846 = 57.745–49 3,795 ÷ 9,401 = 40.450–54 2,470 ÷ 8,517 = 29.055–59 1,475 ÷ 7,909 = 18.760–64 1,052 ÷ 7,417 = 14.265–69 538 ÷ 7,230 = 7.470–74 241 ÷ 5,449 = 4.475–79 121 ÷ 4,104 = 3.080–84 24 ÷ 2,177 = 1.185–89 12 ÷ 2,921 = 0.490–94 10 ÷ 710 = 1.595–100 0 ÷ 777 = 0.0Surveyed cases weighted to represent households in the Philippines.Based on the 2004 APIS.117
Figure 7 (USD4.32/day 1993 PPP line): Bootstrappeddifferences between estimated and true povertylikelihoods for households in a large sample (n =16,384) from the validation sample, with confidenceintervals, 2004 scorecard applied to validationsampleDifference between estimate and true valueConfidence interval (+/– percentage points)Score Diff. 90-percent 95-percent 99-percent0–4 +2.5 2.5 2.8 3.85–9 –1.5 0.9 0.9 0.910–14 –0.4 1.4 1.7 2.115–19 –1.6 1.4 1.6 2.120–24 +1.1 1.7 1.9 2.425–29 –2.0 2.0 2.4 3.030–34 +0.4 2.1 2.5 3.335–39 +0.4 2.1 2.5 3.340–44 +4.3 2.2 2.6 3.345–49 –0.1 2.1 2.5 3.750–54 –1.1 2.1 2.5 3.555–59 +0.6 1.7 2.1 2.760–64 +1.4 1.6 2.0 2.765–69 –1.0 1.7 2.0 2.770–74 +1.1 1.0 1.2 1.575–79 +0.6 0.9 1.1 1.480–84 –0.3 0.9 1.1 1.585–89 –0.4 0.7 0.8 1.190–94 +0.7 1.0 1.2 1.595–100 –1.4 1.8 1.9 2.3118
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A Simple Poverty Scorecard for the
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comparable across organizations nor
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Poverty scoring can also be used fo
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points or less for estimates of cha
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counted as if it had only one perso
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derived from the 2000 FIES by the N
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Given this, the USD1.25/day 2005 PP
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Reyes builds a scorecard using the
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that quickly show how estimated pov
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3.3 Gwatkin et al.Gwatkin et al. (2
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includes income, the PCA index cann
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One of these one-indicator scorecar
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The scorecard in Figure 1 is ready
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If not determined by other factors,
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6.1 Calibrating scores with poverty
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6.2 Accuracy of estimates of househ
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The 90-percent confidence interval
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7. Estimates of a group’s poverty
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To derive a sample-size formula (or
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21.64n = 0. 55 ⋅⎛ ⎞⎜ ⎟
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8. Estimates of changes in group po
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2002 in the Philippines is the diff
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from 0.63 to 0.77 (Figure 10), sugg
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To illustrate the use of (8), suppo
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the four possible targeting outcome
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As an alternative to assigning bene
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at a point in time is always less t
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ReferencesAdams, N.M.; and D.J. Han
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Hentschel, Jesko; Lanjouw, Jean Ols
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Onwujekwe, Obinna; Hanson, Kara; an
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Stillwell, William G.; Barron, F. H
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Figure 1: A simple poverty scorecar
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Figure 3: Poverty indicators by unc
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Figure 3 (cont.): Poverty indicator
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National Poverty Line Tables(and Ta
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Figure 5 (National poverty line): D
Page 73 and 74: Figure 7 (National poverty line): B
Page 75 and 76: Figure 9 (National poverty line): D
Page 77 and 78: Figure 11 (All poverty lines): Poss
Page 79 and 80: Figure 13 (National poverty line):
Page 81 and 82: Figure 4 (National food poverty lin
Page 83 and 84: Figure 7 (National food poverty lin
Page 85 and 86: Figure 12 (National food poverty li
Page 87 and 88: USAID “Extreme” Poverty Line Ta
Page 89 and 90: Figure 5 (USAID “Extreme” pover
Page 91 and 92: Figure 9 (USAID “Extreme” pover
Page 93 and 94: Figure 13 (USAID “Extreme” pove
Page 95 and 96: Figure 4 (USD1.25/day 2005 PPP line
Page 99 and 100: Figure 12 (USD1.25/day 2005 PPP lin
Page 101 and 102: USD2.50/Day 2005 PPP Poverty Line T
Page 115 and 116: USD5.00/Day 2005 PPP Poverty Line T
Page 123: Figure 4 (USD4.32/day 1993 PPP line
Page 129 and 130: National Poverty Line Tablesfor 200
Page 131 and 132: Figure 9 (National line): Differenc
Page 133 and 134: Figure 13 (National line): For a gi
Page 135 and 136: Figure 7 (Food line): Bootstrapped
Page 137 and 138: Figure 12 (Food line): Households b
Page 139 and 140: USAID “Extreme” Poverty Line Ta
Page 141 and 142: Figure 9 (USAID “extreme” line)
Page 143 and 144: Figure 13 (USAID “extreme” line
Page 149 and 150: USD2.50/day 2005 PPP Poverty Line T
Page 159 and 160: USD5.00/day 2005 PPP Poverty Line T
Page 169 and 170: Poverty Lines and Poverty Rates,by
Page 171 and 172: Figure A2: All-urban Philippines an
Page 173 and 174: Figure A4: Agusan del Norte, povert
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Figure A6: Aklan, poverty lines and
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Figure A8: Antique, poverty lines a
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Figure A10: Bataan, poverty lines a
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Figure A12: Batangas, poverty lines
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Figure A14: Bohol, poverty lines an
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Figure A16: Bulacan, poverty lines
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Figure A18: Camarines Norte, povert
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Figure A20: Camiguin, poverty lines
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Figure A22: Catanduanes, poverty li
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Figure A24: Cebu, poverty lines and
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Figure A26: Davao del Sur, poverty
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Figure A28: Eastern Samar, poverty
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Figure A30: Ilocos Norte, poverty l
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Figure A32: Iloilo, poverty lines a
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Figure A34: Kalinga, poverty lines
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Figure A36: Laguna, poverty lines a
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Figure A38: Lanao del Sur, poverty
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Figure A40: Maguindanao, poverty li
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Figure A42: Marinduque, poverty lin
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Figure A44: Misamis Occidental, pov
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Figure A46: Mountain Province, pove
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Figure A48: Negros Oriental, povert
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Figure A50: Northern Samar, poverty
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Figure A52: Nueva Vizcaya, poverty
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Figure A54: Oriental Mindoro, pover
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Figure A56: Pampanga, poverty lines
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Figure A58: Quezon, poverty lines a
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Figure A60: Rizal, poverty lines an
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Figure A62: Western Samar, poverty
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Figure A64: Sorsogon, poverty lines
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Figure A66: Southern Leyte, poverty
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Figure A68: Sulu, poverty lines and
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Figure A70: Surigao del Sur, povert
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Figure A72: Tawi-tawi, poverty line
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Figure A74: Zamboanga del Norte, po
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Figure A76: 2nd District, poverty l
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Figure A78: 4th District, poverty l
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Figure A80: Biliran, poverty lines
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Figure A82: Saranggani, poverty lin
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Figure A84: Compostela Valley, pove
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Figure A86: Shariff Kabunsuan, pove
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Figure A88: Isabela City, poverty l
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A Simple Poverty Scorecard for the Philippines

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