13.07.2015 Views

A Simple Poverty Scorecard for the Philippines

A Simple Poverty Scorecard for the Philippines

A Simple Poverty Scorecard for the Philippines

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Figure 9 (USAID “Extreme” poverty line): Differencesand precision of differences <strong>for</strong> bootstrappedestimates of poverty rates <strong>for</strong> groups of householdsat a point in time, by sample size, 2004 scorecardapplied to validation sampleSampleSizeDifference between estimate and true valueConfidence interval (+/– percentage points)n Diff. 90-percent 95-percent 99-percent1 +0.6 55.9 69.0 83.14 –0.4 22.5 28.2 40.48 –0.5 16.1 20.6 27.116 –0.5 11.2 14.1 17.732 –0.3 8.0 9.6 12.964 –0.5 5.7 6.7 9.1128 –0.3 3.9 4.7 6.2256 –0.3 2.7 3.3 4.5512 –0.4 2.0 2.4 3.01,024 –0.4 1.4 1.7 2.22,048 –0.4 1.0 1.2 1.64,096 –0.4 0.7 0.9 1.18,192 –0.4 0.5 0.6 0.816,384 –0.4 0.4 0.5 0.684

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