A Simple Poverty Scorecard for the Philippines

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Figure 7 (National line): Bootstrapped differencesbetween estimated and true poverty likelihoods forhouseholds in a large sample (n = 16,384) from thevalidation sample, with confidence intervals, 2004scorecard applied to 2002 APISDifference between estimate and true valueConfidence interval (+/– percentage points)Score Diff. 90-percent 95-percent 99-percent0–4 –1.8 2.0 2.3 2.85–9 –1.9 2.0 2.5 3.310–14 –2.4 2.2 2.5 3.215–19 +1.7 2.6 3.1 4.120–24 +0.7 2.5 2.9 3.525–29 +0.6 2.9 3.5 4.530–34 +0.9 2.6 3.0 4.035–39 +3.0 2.5 2.9 3.740–44 +1.2 2.3 2.7 3.645–49 –3.2 2.6 2.8 3.350–54 –0.1 1.8 2.2 2.855–59 –1.4 1.5 1.8 2.260–64 –0.6 1.3 1.5 2.065–69 +0.9 0.8 1.0 1.270–74 –0.2 0.7 1.0 1.375–79 +0.5 0.7 0.8 1.080–84 –0.4 0.5 0.5 0.785–89 –0.1 0.2 0.2 0.390–94 +0.4 1.5 1.7 2.495–100 –0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4123
Figure 9 (National line): Differences and precision ofdifferences for bootstrapped estimates of povertyrates for groups of households at a point in time, bysample size, 2004 scorecard applied to 2002 APISSampleSizeDifference between estimate and true valueConfidence interval (+/– percentage points)n Diff. 90-percent 95-percent 99-percent1 +0.6 65.3 74.6 91.44 +0.4 33.0 39.0 50.78 –0.1 23.3 28.7 34.916 –0.3 16.9 20.1 26.632 +0.1 11.8 13.4 18.664 +0.1 8.3 9.7 12.8128 +0.1 6.0 7.0 9.3256 –0.0 4.2 4.9 6.5512 +0.1 2.8 3.5 4.41,024 +0.1 2.1 2.4 3.22,048 +0.1 1.4 1.7 2.14,096 +0.1 1.0 1.2 1.58,192 +0.1 0.7 0.8 1.116,384 +0.1 0.5 0.6 0.8124
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A Simple Poverty Scorecard for the
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comparable across organizations nor
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Poverty scoring can also be used fo
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points or less for estimates of cha
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counted as if it had only one perso
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derived from the 2000 FIES by the N
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Given this, the USD1.25/day 2005 PP
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Reyes builds a scorecard using the
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that quickly show how estimated pov
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3.3 Gwatkin et al.Gwatkin et al. (2
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includes income, the PCA index cann
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One of these one-indicator scorecar
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The scorecard in Figure 1 is ready
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If not determined by other factors,
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6.1 Calibrating scores with poverty
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6.2 Accuracy of estimates of househ
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The 90-percent confidence interval
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7. Estimates of a group’s poverty
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To derive a sample-size formula (or
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21.64n = 0. 55 ⋅⎛ ⎞⎜ ⎟
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8. Estimates of changes in group po
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2002 in the Philippines is the diff
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from 0.63 to 0.77 (Figure 10), sugg
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To illustrate the use of (8), suppo
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the four possible targeting outcome
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As an alternative to assigning bene
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at a point in time is always less t
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ReferencesAdams, N.M.; and D.J. Han
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Hentschel, Jesko; Lanjouw, Jean Ols
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Onwujekwe, Obinna; Hanson, Kara; an
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Stillwell, William G.; Barron, F. H
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Figure 1: A simple poverty scorecar
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Figure 3: Poverty indicators by unc
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Figure 3 (cont.): Poverty indicator
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National Poverty Line Tables(and Ta
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Figure 5 (National poverty line): D
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Figure 7 (National poverty line): B
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Figure 9 (National poverty line): D
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Figure 11 (All poverty lines): Poss
Page 79 and 80: Figure 13 (National poverty line):
Page 81 and 82: Figure 4 (National food poverty lin
Page 83 and 84: Figure 7 (National food poverty lin
Page 85 and 86: Figure 12 (National food poverty li
Page 87 and 88: USAID “Extreme” Poverty Line Ta
Page 89 and 90: Figure 5 (USAID “Extreme” pover
Page 91 and 92: Figure 9 (USAID “Extreme” pover
Page 93 and 94: Figure 13 (USAID “Extreme” pove
Page 95 and 96: Figure 4 (USD1.25/day 2005 PPP line
Page 99 and 100: Figure 12 (USD1.25/day 2005 PPP lin
Page 101 and 102: USD2.50/Day 2005 PPP Poverty Line T
Page 115 and 116: USD5.00/Day 2005 PPP Poverty Line T
Page 129: National Poverty Line Tablesfor 200
Page 133 and 134: Figure 13 (National line): For a gi
Page 135 and 136: Figure 7 (Food line): Bootstrapped
Page 137 and 138: Figure 12 (Food line): Households b
Page 139 and 140: USAID “Extreme” Poverty Line Ta
Page 141 and 142: Figure 9 (USAID “extreme” line)
Page 143 and 144: Figure 13 (USAID “extreme” line
Page 149 and 150: USD2.50/day 2005 PPP Poverty Line T
Page 159 and 160: USD5.00/day 2005 PPP Poverty Line T
Page 169 and 170: Poverty Lines and Poverty Rates,by
Page 171 and 172: Figure A2: All-urban Philippines an
Page 173 and 174: Figure A4: Agusan del Norte, povert
Page 175 and 176: Figure A6: Aklan, poverty lines and
Page 177 and 178: Figure A8: Antique, poverty lines a
Page 179 and 180: Figure A10: Bataan, poverty lines a
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Figure A12: Batangas, poverty lines
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Figure A14: Bohol, poverty lines an
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Figure A16: Bulacan, poverty lines
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Figure A18: Camarines Norte, povert
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Figure A20: Camiguin, poverty lines
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Figure A22: Catanduanes, poverty li
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Figure A24: Cebu, poverty lines and
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Figure A26: Davao del Sur, poverty
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Figure A28: Eastern Samar, poverty
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Figure A30: Ilocos Norte, poverty l
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Figure A32: Iloilo, poverty lines a
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Figure A34: Kalinga, poverty lines
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Figure A36: Laguna, poverty lines a
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Figure A38: Lanao del Sur, poverty
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Figure A40: Maguindanao, poverty li
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Figure A42: Marinduque, poverty lin
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Figure A44: Misamis Occidental, pov
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Figure A46: Mountain Province, pove
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Figure A48: Negros Oriental, povert
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Figure A50: Northern Samar, poverty
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Figure A52: Nueva Vizcaya, poverty
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Figure A54: Oriental Mindoro, pover
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Figure A56: Pampanga, poverty lines
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Figure A58: Quezon, poverty lines a
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Figure A60: Rizal, poverty lines an
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Figure A62: Western Samar, poverty
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Figure A64: Sorsogon, poverty lines
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Figure A66: Southern Leyte, poverty
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Figure A68: Sulu, poverty lines and
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Figure A70: Surigao del Sur, povert
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Figure A72: Tawi-tawi, poverty line
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Figure A74: Zamboanga del Norte, po
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Figure A76: 2nd District, poverty l
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Figure A78: 4th District, poverty l
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Figure A80: Biliran, poverty lines
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Figure A82: Saranggani, poverty lin
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Figure A84: Compostela Valley, pove
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Figure A86: Shariff Kabunsuan, pove
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Figure A88: Isabela City, poverty l
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A Simple Poverty Scorecard for the Philippines

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