13.07.2015 Views

A Simple Poverty Scorecard for the Philippines

A Simple Poverty Scorecard for the Philippines

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Figure 7 (National food poverty line): Bootstrappeddifferences between estimated and true povertylikelihoods <strong>for</strong> households in a large sample (n =16,384) from <strong>the</strong> validation sample, with confidenceintervals, 2004 scorecard applied to validationsampleDifference between estimate and true valueConfidence interval (+/– percentage points)Score Diff. 90-percent 95-percent 99-percent0–4 –1.8 4.5 5.3 7.35–9 –4.3 3.9 4.4 6.110–14 –6.3 5.2 5.5 6.415–19 –0.0 3.7 4.4 5.720–24 +1.1 2.9 3.5 4.725–29 –0.1 2.6 3.1 4.230–34 +3.9 2.1 2.5 3.035–39 +1.8 1.6 1.9 2.540–44 +2.7 1.3 1.5 2.045–49 +0.3 0.9 1.1 1.550–54 –0.4 0.8 1.0 1.355–59 +0.9 0.5 0.5 0.760–64 –0.4 0.5 0.6 0.765–69 –0.2 0.4 0.4 0.670–74 +0.1 0.1 0.2 0.275–79 +0.1 0.2 0.2 0.280–84 –0.3 0.4 0.5 0.685–89 +0.0 0.0 0.0 0.090–94 +0.0 0.0 0.0 0.095–100 –1.4 1.8 1.9 2.376

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