A Simple Poverty Scorecard for the Philippines

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Figure 7 (USD2.50/day 2005 PPP line): Bootstrappeddifferences between estimated and true povertylikelihoods for households in a large sample (n =16,384) from the validation sample, with confidenceintervals, 2004 scorecard applied to 2002 APISDifference between estimate and true valueConfidence interval (+/– percentage points)Score Diff. 90-percent 95-percent 99-percent0–4 +0.0 0.0 0.0 0.05–9 –0.3 0.9 1.1 1.410–14 –1.3 1.1 1.2 1.615–19 –0.6 1.3 1.6 2.120–24 –1.2 1.2 1.4 1.925–29 –1.4 1.8 2.2 2.830–34 +1.9 2.0 2.5 3.135–39 –1.6 2.2 2.5 3.340–44 –2.0 2.2 2.7 3.745–49 –6.6 4.5 4.8 5.350–54 –4.5 3.6 3.8 4.255–59 –2.2 2.5 2.9 3.760–64 –0.0 2.1 2.5 3.465–69 –0.5 1.7 2.0 2.770–74 –2.3 2.0 2.2 2.675–79 –0.7 1.5 1.8 2.380–84 +0.1 1.4 1.7 2.185–89 –0.9 0.9 1.0 1.490–94 +0.9 1.7 2.0 2.595–100 –0.3 0.4 0.5 0.7143
Figure 9 (USD2.50/day 2005 PPP line): Differences andprecision of differences for bootstrapped estimates ofpoverty rates for groups of households at a point intime, by sample size, 2004 scorecard applied to 2002APISSampleSizeDifference between estimate and true valueConfidence interval (+/– percentage points)n Diff. 90-percent 95-percent 99-percent1 –1.2 64.3 75.1 91.74 –2.5 34.0 40.3 55.58 –1.8 22.8 28.6 35.416 –1.7 17.3 20.9 26.732 –1.6 11.9 13.9 18.864 –1.8 8.7 10.0 13.2128 –1.8 6.4 7.6 9.8256 –1.8 4.2 5.0 6.8512 –1.7 3.0 3.5 4.81,024 –1.7 2.1 2.5 3.32,048 –1.7 1.5 1.7 2.14,096 –1.7 1.0 1.2 1.58,192 –1.7 0.7 0.9 1.216,384 –1.7 0.5 0.6 0.9144
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A Simple Poverty Scorecard for the
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comparable across organizations nor
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Poverty scoring can also be used fo
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points or less for estimates of cha
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counted as if it had only one perso
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derived from the 2000 FIES by the N
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Given this, the USD1.25/day 2005 PP
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Reyes builds a scorecard using the
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that quickly show how estimated pov
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3.3 Gwatkin et al.Gwatkin et al. (2
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includes income, the PCA index cann
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One of these one-indicator scorecar
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The scorecard in Figure 1 is ready
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If not determined by other factors,
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6.1 Calibrating scores with poverty
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6.2 Accuracy of estimates of househ
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The 90-percent confidence interval
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7. Estimates of a group’s poverty
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To derive a sample-size formula (or
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21.64n = 0. 55 ⋅⎛ ⎞⎜ ⎟
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8. Estimates of changes in group po
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2002 in the Philippines is the diff
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from 0.63 to 0.77 (Figure 10), sugg
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To illustrate the use of (8), suppo
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the four possible targeting outcome
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As an alternative to assigning bene
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at a point in time is always less t
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ReferencesAdams, N.M.; and D.J. Han
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Hentschel, Jesko; Lanjouw, Jean Ols
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Onwujekwe, Obinna; Hanson, Kara; an
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Stillwell, William G.; Barron, F. H
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Figure 1: A simple poverty scorecar
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Figure 3: Poverty indicators by unc
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Figure 3 (cont.): Poverty indicator
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National Poverty Line Tables(and Ta
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Figure 5 (National poverty line): D
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Figure 7 (National poverty line): B
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Figure 9 (National poverty line): D
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Figure 11 (All poverty lines): Poss
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Figure 13 (National poverty line):
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Figure 4 (National food poverty lin
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Figure 7 (National food poverty lin
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Figure 12 (National food poverty li
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USAID “Extreme” Poverty Line Ta
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Figure 5 (USAID “Extreme” pover
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Figure 9 (USAID “Extreme” pover
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Figure 13 (USAID “Extreme” pove
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Figure 4 (USD1.25/day 2005 PPP line
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Figure 7 (USD1.25/day 2005 PPP line
Page 99 and 100: Figure 12 (USD1.25/day 2005 PPP lin
Page 101 and 102: USD2.50/Day 2005 PPP Poverty Line T
Page 103 and 104: Figure 5 (USD2.50/day 2005 PPP line
Page 115 and 116: USD5.00/Day 2005 PPP Poverty Line T
Page 129 and 130: National Poverty Line Tablesfor 200
Page 131 and 132: Figure 9 (National line): Differenc
Page 133 and 134: Figure 13 (National line): For a gi
Page 135 and 136: Figure 7 (Food line): Bootstrapped
Page 137 and 138: Figure 12 (Food line): Households b
Page 139 and 140: USAID “Extreme” Poverty Line Ta
Page 141 and 142: Figure 9 (USAID “extreme” line)
Page 143 and 144: Figure 13 (USAID “extreme” line
Page 149: USD2.50/day 2005 PPP Poverty Line T
Page 159 and 160: USD5.00/day 2005 PPP Poverty Line T
Page 169 and 170: Poverty Lines and Poverty Rates,by
Page 171 and 172: Figure A2: All-urban Philippines an
Page 173 and 174: Figure A4: Agusan del Norte, povert
Page 175 and 176: Figure A6: Aklan, poverty lines and
Page 177 and 178: Figure A8: Antique, poverty lines a
Page 179 and 180: Figure A10: Bataan, poverty lines a
Page 181 and 182: Figure A12: Batangas, poverty lines
Page 183 and 184: Figure A14: Bohol, poverty lines an
Page 185 and 186: Figure A16: Bulacan, poverty lines
Page 187 and 188: Figure A18: Camarines Norte, povert
Page 189 and 190: Figure A20: Camiguin, poverty lines
Page 191 and 192: Figure A22: Catanduanes, poverty li
Page 193 and 194: Figure A24: Cebu, poverty lines and
Page 195 and 196: Figure A26: Davao del Sur, poverty
Page 197 and 198: Figure A28: Eastern Samar, poverty
Page 199 and 200: Figure A30: Ilocos Norte, poverty l
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Figure A32: Iloilo, poverty lines a
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Figure A34: Kalinga, poverty lines
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Figure A36: Laguna, poverty lines a
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Figure A38: Lanao del Sur, poverty
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Figure A40: Maguindanao, poverty li
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Figure A42: Marinduque, poverty lin
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Figure A44: Misamis Occidental, pov
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Figure A46: Mountain Province, pove
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Figure A48: Negros Oriental, povert
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Figure A50: Northern Samar, poverty
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Figure A52: Nueva Vizcaya, poverty
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Figure A54: Oriental Mindoro, pover
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Figure A56: Pampanga, poverty lines
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Figure A58: Quezon, poverty lines a
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Figure A60: Rizal, poverty lines an
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Figure A62: Western Samar, poverty
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Figure A64: Sorsogon, poverty lines
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Figure A66: Southern Leyte, poverty
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Figure A68: Sulu, poverty lines and
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Figure A70: Surigao del Sur, povert
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Figure A72: Tawi-tawi, poverty line
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Figure A74: Zamboanga del Norte, po
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Figure A76: 2nd District, poverty l
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Figure A78: 4th District, poverty l
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Figure A80: Biliran, poverty lines
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Figure A82: Saranggani, poverty lin
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Figure A84: Compostela Valley, pove
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Figure A86: Shariff Kabunsuan, pove
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Figure A88: Isabela City, poverty l
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A Simple Poverty Scorecard for the Philippines

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