Evaluation of the USAID-Kosovo SME and Agriculture - Economic ...

Development Associates, Inc.B. Linkage as used by KBS has specific definitions to be included in thestatistics if a linkage: a) identifies new raw material suppliers, b) adds newtechnology or capital goods, c) adds exports, d) joins two Kosovo firms tocreate import substitution.C. The targets by year are: 1:30, 2:60, 3:100, 4:575. Unclear why the verylarge target increase in year 4. This target does not meet the “reasonable”test, in the absence of information that explains why year 4 should be 3times the expected total of the prior 3 years. KBS has over fulfilled itsthree-year targets.D. Some indication of success in linking Kosovo and external firms toincrease trade and investment should be included in future USAID SMEprograms.E. A useful indicator of KBS performance on trade and investment goals.3.3 Trade and investment linkages lead to increased investment valued in EURmillion.Targetsyear 4: 35 ATD: 23.7 LOP: 77.9A. Important concept for SME developmentB. Measurements available only from KBS client firms while a good deal ofKBS energies continue in broadly-based SME support (non-clients) orone-off paying SME clients who are unlikely to provide investmentfigures.C. Targets by year are: 1:10MM, 2:25MM, 3:50MM, 4: -8.9, meaning thatthe original targets were reduced when it became clear they wereunreachable. Given that the actual to-date numbers are 23.7 million EUR,which includes the value of loans drawn by KBS client companies, theattainment of 77.9 MM by contract end ranges from unlikely toimpossible. Since the original targets were set out of the range that couldbe accomplished, the attainment or lack of attainment of the target doesnot appear to accurately reflect the performance of the KBS team.D. Measuring investment and trade increases is important and should becontinued in a future USAID SME development program.E. The achievement of, or failure to achieve, arbitrary targets should notreflect, one way or the other, on the performance of the KBS project.Evaluation of the USAID/Kosovo SME 52 May 2004and Agriculture/Agribusiness ProgramsVolume I