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Portrait of the Greater Montréal, 2010 edition - Communauté ...

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DemographicsThe 65 and over group to grow most by 2031In <strong>the</strong> next 20 years, <strong>the</strong> area’s 65 and over segment should increase considerably, with <strong>the</strong> gradual arrival <strong>of</strong> retirement-agebaby-boomers – a population cohort born between 1945 and 1965 that, in Quebec, represents a higher percentage <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong>population than anywhere else in North America. The ageing <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> population should be less rapid in <strong>Greater</strong> Montréalthan in <strong>the</strong> rest <strong>of</strong> Quebec, however. According to Institut de la statistique du Québec estimates, almost one person in four(22%) in <strong>Greater</strong> Montréal will be 65 or over in 2031, whereas this proportion was only 14% in 2006. In <strong>the</strong> rest <strong>of</strong> Quebec,this proportion should reach 29% in 2031, whereas it was 15% in 2006.Population projections for <strong>Greater</strong> Montréal by age group, 2006-2031700,000600,00020062031500,000400,000300,000200,000100,00000-45-1415-2425-3435-4445-5455-6465-7475-8485+(Age group)Source: Institut de la statistique du Québec, Perspectives démographiques du Québec et des régions, 2006-2056, édition 2009. Calculations by <strong>the</strong> CMM, <strong>2010</strong>.18With respect to <strong>Greater</strong> Montréal’s five geographic sectors, <strong>the</strong> population in <strong>the</strong> Montréal agglomeration should age <strong>the</strong>least rapidly over <strong>the</strong> next few years. This situation can be explained by <strong>the</strong> large number <strong>of</strong> new immigrants, who are, onaverage, younger than <strong>the</strong> population as a whole, and who should continue to settle mainly in <strong>the</strong> Montréal agglomeration.At <strong>the</strong> Island level, <strong>the</strong> proportion <strong>of</strong> those 65 and over should none<strong>the</strong>less increase from 15% in 2006 to 21% in 2031. Thepopulation <strong>of</strong> <strong>the</strong> Longueuil agglomeration and <strong>the</strong> North and South Shores should age <strong>the</strong> most rapidly. In <strong>the</strong> Longueuilagglomeration, <strong>the</strong> percentage <strong>of</strong> those 65 and over should go from 14% in 2006 to 26% in 2031, while on <strong>the</strong> North andSouth Shores, <strong>the</strong> figure should rise from approximately 10% in 2006 to 21% in 2031.Projections for <strong>the</strong> population age 65 and over, five geographic sectors, 2006-203130%25%21%26%23%21%2006203121%20%15%15%14%14%10%9%10%5%0%MontréalagglomerationLongueuilagglomerationLavalNorth ShoreSouth ShoreSource: Institut de la statistique du Québec, Perspectives démographiques du Québec et des régions, 2006-2056, édition 2009. Calculations by <strong>the</strong> CMM, <strong>2010</strong>.

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