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R.J. Godlewski's The Independent Counterterrorist. I, Militia. June ...

R.J. Godlewski's The Independent Counterterrorist. I, Militia. June ...

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a nuclear weapons state. Conditions of chaos, looting,<br />

and violence are not conducive to secure command<br />

and control. A race for the acquisition of “loose nukes”<br />

between states and nonstate actors, therefore, is not<br />

out of the question. And if states lose this race, the<br />

radical and sudden empowerment of nonstate actors<br />

will demand an immediate reevaluation of many of<br />

the orthodoxies about weapons of mass destruction<br />

(WMD) terrorism.<br />

<strong>The</strong> point about such contingencies is not that they<br />

will necessarily happen, but that they represent a set of<br />

threats and challenges that have multiple implications<br />

for U.S. policy and strategy during the next few<br />

decades. A key issue, therefore, is the extent to which<br />

this has been recognized in the U.S. national security<br />

community. <strong>The</strong> next section addresses this.<br />

IV. U.S. THINKING ABOUT SECURITY<br />

AND STRATEGY<br />

<strong>The</strong>re is no single or easy answer to the question<br />

about threat recognition. <strong>The</strong> National Security Strategy<br />

of 2006, for example, is unabashedly Wilsonian in<br />

tone and optimistic in outlook. Although the Bush<br />

administration is very different from its predecessor<br />

in its willingness to use military force, the underlying<br />

thrust of U.S. policy remains that articulated by the<br />

Clinton administration—“engagement and enlargement.”<br />

82 <strong>The</strong> emphasis is on spreading democracy<br />

and promoting development. Democracy is treated<br />

as synonymous with good governance, while the<br />

focus on development, although well-placed, does<br />

little to help the bottom billion or the urban poor.<br />

<strong>The</strong> idea of stability is given little attention. In terms<br />

of threats, four categories are identified: traditional<br />

threats from other states, irregular challenges from<br />

35

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