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<strong>atw</strong> Vol. 62 (<strong>2017</strong>) | Issue 6 ı June<br />
RESEARCH AND INNOVATION 412<br />
| | Fig. 5.<br />
Correlation degree in different resolution.<br />
As seen from Fig. 5, using different<br />
resolutions, the factors have different<br />
effect on the maximum outlet temperature<br />
of the coolant. There is a<br />
little difference between the effects of<br />
different factors, when the resolution<br />
is 0.5. It shows that the above<br />
parameters are not well distributed.<br />
The individual characteristics of<br />
the above parameters are gradually<br />
distinguished, once the resolution is<br />
reduced from 0.5 to 0.1. The order of<br />
these parameters is established, based<br />
on their degree of the importance, X 6 ,<br />
X 1 , X 4 , X 5 , X 2 , X 3 . The initial power has<br />
the strongest influence on the decay<br />
heat after shutdown. This is followed<br />
by temperature of IRWST, which is<br />
the cooling source for the core. As<br />
the height of the ascending pipe is<br />
| | Fig. 6.<br />
Error analysis.<br />
increased, there is a greater density<br />
difference between cold and hot<br />
sections, further increasing the mass<br />
flow rate of PRHRS. Other parameters<br />
X5, X2 and X3 have a less pronounced<br />
effect on the maximum outlet temperature<br />
of the coolant.<br />
4.3 GM(1,6) model<br />
The Grey correlation has been used<br />
to determine the influence of each<br />
parameter on the maximum coolant<br />
temperature at the reactor’s output.<br />
Considering the relationship among<br />
the parameters, the coolant fluid<br />
temperature (X 0 ) is considered to<br />
represent the main behavior of the<br />
system. The temperature of IRWST<br />
(X 1 ), the diameter of PRHR HX(X 2 ),<br />
resistance coefficient (X 3 ), height of<br />
ascending pipe(X 4 ), initial pressure(X<br />
5 ) and the initial power level(X 6 )<br />
are considered to represent the correlated<br />
behavior factors. According to<br />
Eq. (9)-(18), an in-house code has<br />
been used to build GM (1,6) model.<br />
The code randomly selects 90 groups<br />
and the other 10 groups are used to<br />
validate. The corresponding differential<br />
equation is shown as Eq. (19).<br />
(19)<br />
Figure 6 shows the errors in the<br />
coolant temperature as determined<br />
by the results from GM(1,6) and<br />
RELAP5.<br />
As seen in Fig. 6, the results of<br />
GM(1,6) agree well with RELAP5,<br />
and the errors fall within 15%. The<br />
Grey model can adequately predict<br />
maximum coolant temperature at the<br />
outlet of the reactor core using a small<br />
amount of data, making up for the<br />
deficiency of artificial neural network<br />
(ANN), which becomes unstable with<br />
a small amount of data. This is a<br />
new way to replace thermal-hydraulic<br />
model.<br />
5 Conclusion<br />
By taking the loss of normal feedwater<br />
in AP1000 as an example, the behavior<br />
of PRHRS has been analyzed with the<br />
help of RELAP5, and the Grey system<br />
method has been applied for calculating<br />
the maximum coolant temperature<br />
at the outlet of the reactor<br />
core. The following conclusions are<br />
drawn.<br />
(1) The degree of Grey correlation is<br />
used to analyze the importance of<br />
influencing factors. Smaller the<br />
resolution, more obvious is the<br />
difference among these factors.<br />
The behavior of the factors can be<br />
distinguished very easily, when the<br />
resolution is 0.1.<br />
(2) The initial reactor power has the<br />
greatest influence on the maximum<br />
coolant temperature at the<br />
reactor outlet. And the sequences<br />
is followed by the temperature of<br />
IRWST, height of ascending pipe,<br />
initial pressure. Correspondingly,<br />
the diameter and resistance coefficient<br />
of PRHRS-HX have a lesser<br />
effect.<br />
(3) The GM(1,6) model is built to<br />
predict maximum coolant temperature<br />
at the reactor outlet. All<br />
errors fall within 15 % range.<br />
Research and Innovation<br />
Reliability Analysis on Passive Residual Heat Removal of AP1000 Based on Grey Model ı Qi Shi, Zhou Tao, Muhammad Ali Shahzad, Li Yu and Jiang Guangming