Banking for 7 billion and 7 million
New challenges and opportunities of globalization Global Investor, 03/2006 Credit Suisse
New challenges and opportunities of globalization
Global Investor, 03/2006
Credit Suisse
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GLOBAL INVESTOR 3.06 Basics — 35<br />
time schedule, <strong>and</strong> the project experienced no problems during<br />
construction or with respect to the financing plan, such as cost<br />
overruns. The huge Millau Viaduct illustrates perfectly how the public<br />
sector can benefit from private sector knowledge <strong>and</strong> financing.<br />
Types of infrastructure<br />
Infrastructure is normally divided in two categories, “social infrastructure”<br />
<strong>and</strong> “economic infrastructure.” The key difference between<br />
the two categories is that users are prepared to pay <strong>for</strong> the economic<br />
infrastructure (transport, utilities, communications), while<br />
across Europe, the situation is quite different with respect to the<br />
willingness to pay <strong>for</strong> social infrastructure (typically schools, healthcare).<br />
In a pan-European context, the public sector at present<br />
provides the infrastructure <strong>and</strong> the related services, whereas in the<br />
Anglo-Saxon PFI or PPP model, social infrastructure consists<br />
mainly of partnerships between the public <strong>and</strong> the private sectors,<br />
under which the private sector provides the physical assets.<br />
The worldwide current infrastructure project boom has various<br />
reasons, <strong>and</strong>, particularly on the dem<strong>and</strong> side, we have to distinguish<br />
in a global context between the worldwide regions according<br />
to their stage of development. The dynamics of infrastructure investments<br />
clearly differ between emerging <strong>and</strong> developed markets: in<br />
emerging markets, the main drivers are urbanization <strong>and</strong> the building<br />
of new infrastructure to serve a wealthier population, while developed<br />
markets’ infrastructure projects comprise mainly replacements<br />
<strong>and</strong> improvements of existing infrastructure.<br />
PPPs are long-term partnerships to deliver<br />
assets <strong>and</strong> services underpinning public<br />
services <strong>and</strong> community outcomes. Optimal<br />
structuring links private sector profitability<br />
to sustained per<strong>for</strong>mance over the long term,<br />
yielding robust <strong>and</strong> attractive cash flows <strong>for</strong><br />
investors in return <strong>for</strong> delivering better value<br />
<strong>for</strong> money to the taxpayer.<br />
John Laing plc, The EC Green Paper on PPPs <strong>and</strong> concessions. John Laing plc specializes<br />
in infrastructure development, investment, <strong>and</strong> operations. The group invests in, develops, <strong>and</strong><br />
operates hospitals, schools, defense establishments, police stations <strong>and</strong> roads in the private<br />
finance initiative (PFI) <strong>and</strong> public-private partnership (PPP) markets. John Laing also runs a<br />
United Kingdom train operating company (Chiltern Railways).<br />
Worldwide differences in the infrastructure boom<br />
Emerging markets: The dramatic urbanization figures in emerging<br />
markets (especially in Asia) show that infrastructure needs there<br />
differ significantly from those in developed markets. Globally, it is<br />
estimated that one <strong>million</strong> people move to cities per week, creating<br />
a vast dem<strong>and</strong> <strong>for</strong> new energy, transport <strong>and</strong> water facilities. Dem<strong>and</strong><br />
is currently being further boosted by the underinvestment<br />
that followed the Asian crisis in 1997– 98. As incomes rise, people<br />
in cities around the world are increasingly asking <strong>for</strong> western-style<br />
state-of-the-art infrastructure, <strong>and</strong> the strong economic growth of<br />
many countries allows them to undertake the requested projects.<br />
Developed markets: The rise of global competition among cities<br />
<strong>and</strong> countries <strong>for</strong> taxpayers, businesses <strong>and</strong> corporate headquarters<br />
has been a potent driver <strong>for</strong> infrastructure projects in developed<br />
markets: easy commuting, fast international connections <strong>and</strong><br />
state-of-the-art infrastructure facilities are key to attract business<br />
<strong>and</strong> improve quality of life (as several surveys issued by HR consultants<br />
suggest). Much of the existing infrastructure is very old<br />
(e.g. the London Underground was first opened in 1863, the Paris<br />
Métro in 1900), <strong>and</strong> was planned <strong>for</strong> fewer users <strong>and</strong> completely<br />
different habits <strong>and</strong> lifestyles. To finance the works, governments<br />
are using various methods, including PPPs.<br />
What drives PPP structure growth?<br />
Budgetary pressure (fulfillment of Maastricht criteria), aging infrastructure<br />
<strong>and</strong> increased pressure <strong>for</strong> different ambitious large-scale<br />
European Community projects <strong>for</strong>ce pan-European countries to follow<br />
the UK route. The UK has been at the <strong>for</strong>efront of such projects<br />
since 1987 <strong>and</strong> the project volume by value peaked during the period<br />
between 2002 <strong>and</strong> 2004. The signed project list to date contains<br />
749 projects with a capital value of GBP 46.4 <strong>billion</strong> invested in infrastructure<br />
projects (source: UK, National Audit Office, 2006).