Banking for 7 billion and 7 million

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GLOBAL INVESTOR 3.06 Editorial — 0 Dubai, United Arab Emirates Photo: Victor Romero/Stringer
GLOBAL INVESTOR 3.06 Editorial — 0 The next big thing: Small? In this issue we prove once and for all that size really does matter. From the world’s emerging mega-cities to the marvels of nanotechnology, Global Investor’s fresh perspectives on fascinating global trends bring some interesting opportunities to light. Not least of these is nanotechnology. Put simply, nanotechnology is the science of small, measured in billionths of a meter. An enabling technology that will be embedded in materials and equipment, it could change science, medicine and industry dramatically. It may not only affect the way we live, but how long we live. Medical advances could result in a substantial increase in the number of elderly. Some have made Malthusian predictions, but I prefer to be an optimist. Every major technological advance has entailed adjustments but, over time, quality of life has generally improved. Nanotechnology could allow developing economies to leapfrog older technologies. In Asia, China leads in terms of national planning, research and funding, South Korea in patents and public-private sector cooperation, and India in commercializing technology. For investors, nanotechnology presents a Rubik’s cube of possibilities. What can be commercialized? Which countries will gain competitive advantage? How will demographics be affected? Disruptive and transformational, nanotech could severely impact existing industries and commodities. For example, if ceramics can be made strong and light, what would happen to the market for steel? The article on page 53 gives answers to these questions and more. While developments may be years away, opportunities exist for those willing to make a long-term investment. Consider transistors, the basis of today’s computer technology, which were invented in 1947. The integrated circuit was created 11 years later. Investors did not see a handsome return until the 1980s – 40 years after the initial technological breakthrough. Credit Suisse is already a keen observer of nanotechnology. That’s no surprise – for 150 years, we’ve celebrated a tradition of innovation. We know that, with the right advice, small may be bountiful. Enid Yip, Hong Kong Branch Manager
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