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New challenges and opportunities of globalization Global Investor, 03/2006 Credit Suisse

New challenges and opportunities of globalization
Global Investor, 03/2006
Credit Suisse

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GLOBAL INVESTOR 3.06 Basics — 40<br />

a variety of currencies, as figure 2 shows. European public sector<br />

bond issuers typically seek to optimize their financing costs <strong>and</strong><br />

diversify their investor base. One clear trend in the currency distribution<br />

in figure 2 is the increase in “other” currencies. The issuer in<br />

the sector with the largest number of bonds outst<strong>and</strong>ing by value<br />

is the European Investment Bank, EIB, with EUR 245 <strong>billion</strong>, followed<br />

by Kreditanstalt für Wiederaufbau, KfW, with EUR 234 <strong>billion</strong>.<br />

In 2005 the EIB raised EUR 49.8 <strong>billion</strong> via 330 transactions in 15<br />

different currencies, with 88% in the bank’s three core currencies:<br />

euro (EUR), pound sterling (GBP) <strong>and</strong> US dollar (USD). The EIB’s<br />

stated objective is to issue 85% to 90% of its debt in its core currencies.<br />

The remaining 12% of EIB’s 2005 issuance involved 12<br />

different currencies. The EIB’s 2006 funding program is expected<br />

to be in the range of EUR 50 to 55 <strong>billion</strong>, with a similar volume of<br />

issuance from KfW. For comparison, the Swiss government is expected<br />

to issue CHF 6.5 <strong>billion</strong> (EUR 4.2 <strong>billion</strong>) of debt in 2006.<br />

The EIB delivers benchmark liquidity across its three core currencies<br />

<strong>and</strong> is the sole issuer to offer such comprehensive yield curves<br />

across EUR, GBP <strong>and</strong> USD. In 2005 the EIB raised EUR 19.3 <strong>billion</strong><br />

in the EUR market <strong>and</strong> is the only borrower that complements sovereign<br />

issuers with benchmark issues in a global <strong>for</strong>mat with a size<br />

of up to EUR 5 <strong>billion</strong> <strong>and</strong> outst<strong>and</strong>ing maturities ranging from 3<br />

years to 30 years. It has an aggregate amount of EUR 62 <strong>billion</strong> of<br />

bonds outst<strong>and</strong>ing in EUR. In the non-benchmark EUR segment<br />

EIB saw a dramatic increase in dem<strong>and</strong> from European investors<br />

<strong>for</strong> yield-enhancing interest-rate-structured transactions in 2005<br />

<strong>and</strong> raised EUR 7.6 <strong>billion</strong>, up over 100% versus 2004, <strong>and</strong> this<br />

trend is likely to continue. In 2005 the EIB raised USD 18.3 <strong>billion</strong> in<br />

USD debt capital markets, making it the largest non-US issuer in<br />

USD in the international markets. In 2005 the EIB issued five USD<br />

global benchmark issues, including three USD 3 <strong>billion</strong> issues, as<br />

well as two Eurodollar bonds totalling USD 2.25 <strong>billion</strong>. EIB’s structured<br />

US dollar transactions in 2005 amounted to USD 2.9 <strong>billion</strong>.<br />

The EIB is the leading frequent issuer in the GBP market, after the<br />

UK government (Gilts), raising GBP 6.9 <strong>billion</strong> (EUR 10.0 <strong>billion</strong>) in<br />

2005. The EIB’s bonds are the main alternative to UK Gilts <strong>and</strong> act<br />

as the benchmark <strong>for</strong> the non-Gilt market, with around GBP 42 <strong>billion</strong><br />

of bonds outst<strong>and</strong>ing. In 2005 the EIB brought 11 benchmark<br />

issues to the sterling market, demonstrating its consistent approach<br />

to maintaining a GBP yield curve, which includes a 50-year<br />

maturity issue. Figure 3 shows the currency breakdown of EIB’s<br />

outst<strong>and</strong>ing debt by major currencies.<br />

Trend towards currency diversification<br />

The increasing trend to issue bonds in non-core currencies, as<br />

shown in figure 2, can be broadly segmented into five groups: 1) the<br />

Japanese yen (JPY) is the single most important currency <strong>and</strong> is<br />

particularly used by issuers like Eksportfinans (EXPT) <strong>and</strong> KfW <strong>for</strong><br />

private placement in Japan; 2) the currencies of new EU member<br />

states <strong>and</strong> accession countries, which includes the Hungarian <strong>for</strong>-<br />

Table 1<br />

Some leading European public sector bond issuers compared to the Swiss government<br />

Major public sector issuers, ranked by amount of debt outst<strong>and</strong>ing, with the Swiss Federal Government as a comparison.<br />

Source: Credit Suisse, Bloomberg<br />

Name of issuer Country/region BB ticker Scope Bonds outst<strong>and</strong>ing (EUR bn) Credit ratings<br />

S&P Moody’s Fitch<br />

European Investment Bank European Union EIB Development bank 244.8 AAA Aaa AAA<br />

Kreditanstalt für Wiederaufbau Germany KFW Development bank 234.3 AAA Aaa AAA<br />

NRW.BANK Germany NRWBK Development bank 86.1 AA- Aa2 AAA<br />

Swiss Government Switzerl<strong>and</strong> SWISS Government 72.3 AAA Aaa AAA<br />

Bank Nederl<strong>and</strong>se Gemeenten Netherl<strong>and</strong>s BNG Public sector bank 70.7 AAA Aaa AAA<br />

Caisse d’amort. de la dette sociale France CADES Government agency 64.5 AAA Aaa AAA<br />

L<strong>and</strong>wirtschaftliche Rentenbank Germany RENTEN Development bank 60.1 AAA Aaa AAA<br />

Svensk Exportkredit AB Sweden SEK Export finance 23.0 AA+ Aa1 NR<br />

Nederl<strong>and</strong>se Waterschapsbank Netherl<strong>and</strong>s NEDWBK Public sector bank 25.0 AAA Aaa AAA<br />

Instituto Credito Oficial Spain ICO Development bank 23.2 AAA Aaa AAA<br />

L-Bank Foerderbank Germany LBANK Development bank 21.1 AA+ Aaa AAA<br />

Réseau Ferré de France France RESFER Railway infrastructure 19.6 AAA Aaa AAA<br />

Eksportfinans A/S Norway EXPT Export finance 17.8 AA+ Aaa AAA<br />

Österreichische Kontrollbank Austria OKB Export finance 15.7 AAA Aaa NR<br />

German Postal Pensions Germany GPPS Special purpose entity 15.5 AAA Aaa AAA<br />

SNCF France SNCF Railway operator 15.0 AAA Aaa AAA<br />

Nordic Investment Bank Sc<strong>and</strong>inavia NIB Development bank 13.6 AAA Aaa NR<br />

Council of Europe 38 European countries COE Development bank 13.3 AAA Aaa AAA<br />

Network Rail Infrastructure Great Britain UKRAIL Railway infrastructure 13.2 AAA Aaa AAA<br />

Kommuninvest Sweden KOMINS Public sector bank 6.0 AAA Aaa NR<br />

ASFiNAG Austria ASFING Road infrastructure 5.7 AAA Aaa AAA

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