SleepTech_Mart2018-internet
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30<br />
Foreign Trade<br />
Expectation Survey<br />
of 1st Quarter, 2018<br />
Foreign Trade Expectation Survey<br />
(DTBA) reflects assessments of<br />
Turkish foreign trade depending<br />
on recent and current situations<br />
along with future expectations<br />
of leading firms. Particularly, it<br />
helps to produce indices which<br />
can be stated as leading indicators.<br />
Export Expectation Index decreased<br />
by 11.2 points to 112.5<br />
in the 1st quarter of 2018 from<br />
123.7 in the 4th quarter of<br />
2017. Diffusion indices of Survey<br />
questions composing the Export<br />
Expectation Index show that,<br />
in the 1st quarter of 2018, in<br />
comparison to the 4th quarter<br />
of 2017, expectations regarding<br />
the level of export for the next<br />
3 months, the level of current<br />
export orders, export orders<br />
belonging to the last 3 months<br />
and expectations for the export<br />
orders of the next 3 months have<br />
decreasing effect over the Index.<br />
Import Expectation Index increased<br />
by 2.1 points to 115.0<br />
in the 1st quarter of 2018<br />
from 112.8 in the 4th quarter<br />
of 2017. In the 1st quarter of<br />
2017, in comparison to the 4th<br />
quarter of 2017, among the<br />
survey questions identifying the<br />
Import Expectation Index, current<br />
level of import orders and the<br />
expectations regarding the level<br />
of import for the next 3 months<br />
have decreasing effects over<br />
Index, while unit import price<br />
for the next 3 months and level<br />
of import orders of the last 3<br />
months has increasing effects<br />
over Index.<br />
Source: Ministry of Economy