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SleepTech_Mart2018-internet

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30<br />

Foreign Trade<br />

Expectation Survey<br />

of 1st Quarter, 2018<br />

Foreign Trade Expectation Survey<br />

(DTBA) reflects assessments of<br />

Turkish foreign trade depending<br />

on recent and current situations<br />

along with future expectations<br />

of leading firms. Particularly, it<br />

helps to produce indices which<br />

can be stated as leading indicators.<br />

Export Expectation Index decreased<br />

by 11.2 points to 112.5<br />

in the 1st quarter of 2018 from<br />

123.7 in the 4th quarter of<br />

2017. Diffusion indices of Survey<br />

questions composing the Export<br />

Expectation Index show that,<br />

in the 1st quarter of 2018, in<br />

comparison to the 4th quarter<br />

of 2017, expectations regarding<br />

the level of export for the next<br />

3 months, the level of current<br />

export orders, export orders<br />

belonging to the last 3 months<br />

and expectations for the export<br />

orders of the next 3 months have<br />

decreasing effect over the Index.<br />

Import Expectation Index increased<br />

by 2.1 points to 115.0<br />

in the 1st quarter of 2018<br />

from 112.8 in the 4th quarter<br />

of 2017. In the 1st quarter of<br />

2017, in comparison to the 4th<br />

quarter of 2017, among the<br />

survey questions identifying the<br />

Import Expectation Index, current<br />

level of import orders and the<br />

expectations regarding the level<br />

of import for the next 3 months<br />

have decreasing effects over<br />

Index, while unit import price<br />

for the next 3 months and level<br />

of import orders of the last 3<br />

months has increasing effects<br />

over Index.<br />

Source: Ministry of Economy

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