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WWRR Vol.2.017

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Jan-12<br />

May-12<br />

Sep-12<br />

Jan-13<br />

May-13<br />

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May-14<br />

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May-15<br />

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May-16<br />

Sep-16<br />

Jan-17<br />

May-17<br />

Jan-12<br />

Sep-17<br />

Apr-12<br />

Jan-18<br />

Jul-12<br />

May-18<br />

Oct-12<br />

Sep-18<br />

Jan-13<br />

Apr-13<br />

Jul-13<br />

Oct-13<br />

Jan-12<br />

Jan-14<br />

May-12<br />

Apr-14<br />

Sep-12<br />

Jul-14<br />

Jan-13<br />

Oct-14<br />

May-13<br />

Jan-15<br />

Sep-13<br />

Apr-15<br />

Jan-14<br />

Jul-15<br />

May-14<br />

Oct-15<br />

Sep-14<br />

Jan-16<br />

Jan-15<br />

Apr-16<br />

May-15<br />

Jul-16<br />

Sep-15<br />

Oct-16<br />

Jan-16<br />

Jan-17<br />

May-16<br />

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India<br />

Strategy Note | January 1, 2019<br />

Figure 20: IT companies may appear attractive as they are<br />

trading near mean; however, due to US policy uncertainty we<br />

are underweight on the sector<br />

Figure 21: BSE energy index has not factored in likely earnings<br />

upgrades; we are overweight on oil marketing companies<br />

(OMCs)<br />

24.00<br />

22.00<br />

BEST _ PE ratio Average +1 Stdev<br />

-1 Stdev +2 Stdev -2 Stdev<br />

2.00<br />

1.90<br />

1.80<br />

BEST _ PB ratio Average +1 Stdev<br />

Title:<br />

-1 Stdev +2 Stdev -2 Stdev<br />

Source:<br />

Please fill in the values above to have them entered in your<br />

20.00<br />

1.70<br />

1.60<br />

18.00<br />

1.50<br />

16.00<br />

1.40<br />

1.30<br />

14.00<br />

1.20<br />

12.00<br />

1.10<br />

1.00<br />

SOURCES: CGS-CIMB RESEARCH, Bloomberg<br />

SOURCES: CGS-CIMB RESEARCH, Bloomberg<br />

Banks are our biggest Overweight and we particularly like<br />

corporate banks<br />

Figure 22: Most of the corporate banks are just coming out of the NPA cycle; hence,<br />

book value is depressed. As earnings revive, these banks are likely to perform well<br />

4.00<br />

P/b Ratio Average +1 Stdev<br />

3.50<br />

-1 Stdev +2 Stdev -2 Stdev<br />

3.00<br />

2.50<br />

2.00<br />

1.50<br />

1.00<br />

SOURCES: CGS-CIMB RESEARCH, Bloomberg<br />

Capital goods – valuations are low and signs of capex revival<br />

are apparent; Overweight<br />

9

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