04.01.2019 Views

WWRR Vol.2.017

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Earnings Profile- Operating profits to witness contraction<br />

Confluence of factors could impact earnings of NBFCs in the current fiscal-<br />

Increase in the cost of funds (COF)<br />

Considering a managed leverage of 5.5-6 times; Weighted average cost of funds to increase by 45-50 bps in FY2019<br />

Slowdown in growth would impact operating efficiencies<br />

Every 1% decline in portfolio growth (from 19-20%) would impact operating efficiency by about 2-3 bps ; expect 5-10 bps impact<br />

Carrying cost of additional liquidity buffer<br />

ICRA expects entities to hold incremental buffer of about 2-3% of the total assets; thus, impact could be about 5-15 bps on<br />

NIMs depending on the NBFC current business yield<br />

* net of pass on of 50% of the borrowing cost increase<br />

Impact on operating profit estimated at 30-50 bps *<br />

Expected Stress on asset quality<br />

Stress expected in vehicle finance and SME credit segments because of the increase in fuel costs and expected slowdown in<br />

meeting incremental financing in case of SMEs

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