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Growth strategies in retail banking Study - Roland Berger

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Low mortgage penetration will drive growth <strong>in</strong> <strong>retail</strong><br />

lend<strong>in</strong>g, probably more than consumer f<strong>in</strong>ance<br />

Mortgage lend<strong>in</strong>g as % GDP [%] 2005 Consumer lend<strong>in</strong>g as % GDP [%] 2005<br />

EU 12<br />

HR 1)<br />

HU<br />

CZ<br />

PL<br />

RO 2.0<br />

5.3<br />

BG 4.6<br />

11.0<br />

9.5<br />

8.6<br />

36.6<br />

CAGR 2)<br />

10%<br />

18%<br />

66%<br />

50%<br />

26%<br />

124%<br />

98%<br />

EU 12<br />

Notes: For EU 12, <strong>retail</strong> lend<strong>in</strong>g <strong>in</strong>cludes non profit <strong>in</strong>stitutions serv<strong>in</strong>g households 1) Data for 2005 estimated 2) CAGR 2000-2005<br />

HR 1)<br />

Source: Bank<strong>in</strong>g structures CEE (ECB), ECB Monthly Bullet<strong>in</strong>, CEE Bank<strong>in</strong>g Report 2005<br />

BG<br />

PL<br />

HU<br />

RO 5.8<br />

7.4<br />

CZ 6.2<br />

9.5<br />

11.2<br />

16.0<br />

24.0<br />

CAGR 2)<br />

4%<br />

25%<br />

65%<br />

10%<br />

32%<br />

33%<br />

102%<br />

VIE-1789-90000-017-415<br />

10

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