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227/08 Social challanges s the basis for foresight - Gaia

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Why?<br />

Drivers<br />

and<br />

trends<br />

What?<br />

Central<br />

solutions<br />

How?<br />

– skills<br />

– practices<br />

– co-operation<br />

Changing <strong>basis</strong> of<br />

wellbeing and<br />

happiness<br />

Renovation of existing<br />

houses and areas<br />

Finnish lifestyle might not remain unchanged<br />

where private car use is excessive and families<br />

have single-family houses and summer houses.<br />

The drivers, solutions and actions are summarised<br />

in Figure 5.2.<br />

Energy and material efficiency of<br />

industrial production<br />

In <strong>the</strong> year 2020 Finland will be a top exporter of<br />

energy and material efficient products and services.<br />

There will be internationally leading Finnish<br />

manufacturers and exporters on <strong>the</strong> global market<br />

in certain sectors: <strong>for</strong>est and metal industry, alternative<br />

transport fuels, water purification technology<br />

and IC technology. Some areas of chemical<br />

industry could also be Finland’s strengths. Finland’s<br />

strength is based on long experience and<br />

know-how in energy intensive process and metal<br />

industry which facilitates new business areas in<br />

smart processes and management of material and<br />

energy flows.<br />

Spatial planning, housing and transport<br />

ICT solutions and<br />

telepresence <strong>for</strong> work<br />

Energy and material efficiency<br />

indicators and life cycle models<br />

<strong>for</strong> urban spatial planning<br />

R&D&I and<br />

investments in<br />

public transport<br />

Pressure to minimi<br />

energy consumptio<br />

and CO emissions (and<br />

2<br />

hence pressure on<br />

current low density<br />

urban structures)<br />

Smart low energy homes<br />

(also <strong>for</strong> export)<br />

Tax incentives and<br />

regulation <strong>for</strong><br />

housing and transport<br />

Aging<br />

R&D&I activities <strong>for</strong><br />

developing energy and<br />

material efficient housing<br />

Energy and material efficient services<br />

e.g. retailing, waste management,<br />

car sharing etc.<br />

Public transport systems<br />

Use of waste energy<br />

e.g. from waste water<br />

ICT solutions<br />

R&D&I activities <strong>for</strong><br />

developing energy and<br />

material efficient services<br />

Housing regulation<br />

Figure 5.2. Drivers, solutions and actions to reach <strong>the</strong> goals of spatial planning,<br />

housing and transport<br />

If <strong>the</strong> goal is achieved production volumes will<br />

increase. Business opportunities in service sector<br />

improve as research and capacity building develop.<br />

IC technology solutions will be utilised<br />

substantially more also in energy efficiency sector<br />

and need <strong>for</strong> travelling is compensated by digital<br />

services. On <strong>the</strong> o<strong>the</strong>r hand global prices of<br />

raw materials increase due to insufficiency of<br />

supply. There’s also increasing need to move <strong>for</strong><br />

work opportunities.<br />

To achieve <strong>the</strong> goal <strong>the</strong> competence must be ensured<br />

by investing in basic research and improving<br />

vocational education of experts as well as<br />

supporting entrepreneurship. Investments in<br />

R&D&I <strong>for</strong> activities in material and energy efficient<br />

industry as well as support mechanisms <strong>for</strong><br />

commercialization of new innovations. Material<br />

and energy efficient solutions should be supported<br />

with lower taxation than <strong>the</strong> conventional<br />

ones. Indicator and life-cycle systems <strong>for</strong> material<br />

and energy efficiency industrial products<br />

must be developed.<br />

57

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