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227/08 Social challanges s the basis for foresight - Gaia

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The main drivers in <strong>the</strong> sector are increased energy<br />

and material prices and need to cut <strong>the</strong> CO 2<br />

emissions. Global competition <strong>for</strong>ces Finland to<br />

take a new turn in industrial production especially<br />

in <strong>the</strong> energy intensive process technology<br />

due to isolated location and globalised market.<br />

Regulation presents new challenges also. IC technology<br />

offers a good plat<strong>for</strong>m to develop new solutions<br />

and services on global market.<br />

There are some uncertainties or challenges that<br />

need to overcome to achieve <strong>the</strong> goals. The education<br />

system fails to improve according to <strong>the</strong><br />

needs and support <strong>for</strong> entrepreneurship lacks.<br />

There must also be courage to change <strong>the</strong> existing<br />

industrial structure on time. EU regulation<br />

might become an obstacle <strong>for</strong> competition in<br />

global perspective. Radical changes in global<br />

politics or economy might steer <strong>the</strong> development<br />

elsewhere.<br />

The drivers, solutions and actions are summarised<br />

in Figure 5.3.<br />

58<br />

Why?<br />

Drivers<br />

and<br />

trends<br />

What?<br />

Central<br />

solutions<br />

How?<br />

– skills<br />

– practices<br />

– co-operation<br />

Higher energy prices<br />

and pressure toward<br />

lowering CO2<br />

emissions<br />

Energy and material efficiency in industry<br />

Globally competitive energy and<br />

material efficient products<br />

Understanding and<br />

management of energy and<br />

material flows<br />

Energy and material efficiency<br />

indicators and life cycle models<br />

<strong>for</strong> industrial products<br />

Support mechanism<br />

<strong>for</strong> energy and<br />

material efficiency<br />

in R&D projects<br />

Global competition<br />

Standards and public<br />

procurement<br />

Regulation and<br />

potential unequal<br />

regulation<br />

environment<br />

Regulation that supports energy<br />

and material efficiency<br />

(positive feedback)<br />

R&D&I activities <strong>for</strong><br />

developing energy and<br />

material efficient industry<br />

Smart processes<br />

Basic research e.g. on<br />

material and energy<br />

flows<br />

ICT<br />

Energy and material<br />

efficient services<br />

Support <strong>for</strong><br />

commercialisation, e.g. pilot<br />

processes, entrepreneurship<br />

Education <strong>for</strong><br />

experts in process<br />

engineering,<br />

chemistry etc.<br />

Figure 5.3. Drivers, solutions and actions to reach <strong>the</strong> goals of energy and<br />

material efficiency in industry<br />

Energy production – CO 2 and small<br />

scale<br />

The target is to maintain sufficient energy production<br />

to ensure equal welfare of people. In <strong>the</strong> year<br />

2020 <strong>the</strong>re’s a 30% reduction of CO 2 emissions<br />

and use of natural resources in energy production,<br />

and everyone has an equal opportunity to use energy.<br />

Local energy production is important to ensure<br />

security of supply and local independency.<br />

Local energy production is possible by utilising<br />

passive solar energy and passive cooling. Waste as<br />

energy source will present opportunities <strong>for</strong> local<br />

production. New alternative technologies, e.g.<br />

small-scale bioenergy and solar heating and electricity<br />

solutions <strong>for</strong> energy generation will be developed.<br />

Infrastructure and electricity distribution<br />

systems support local small-scale production.<br />

The local production requires specific support<br />

mechanisms, e.g. feed-in tariffs, and renewed taxation<br />

systems from <strong>the</strong> government. Also housing<br />

regulation needs to be developed. The small-scale

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