The Anatomy of A Silent Crisis The Anatomy of A Silent Crisis

End notes
101
University Press, Cambridge, UK, 273-313, p 299.
and Parry, M., Rosenzweig, C., and Livermore, M.
(2005): “Climate Change, Global Food Supply and Risk
of Hunger.” Philosophical Transactions of the Royal
Society, 360, 2125-2138, p.2136.
76. Parry, M., Rosenzweig, C., and Livermore, M. (2005):
“Climate Change, Global Food Supply and Risk of
Hunger.” Philosophical Transactions of the Royal
Society, 360, 2125-2138, p.2136.
77. The estimates for production losses and price increase
are based on crop model projections which focus on
changes in yield. Other models exist, such as agroeconomic
models, i.e. Fischer et al. (2005), which come
up with somewhat more conservative estimates, (this
model includes assumptions related to mitigating actions
by economic actors like shifting crop production between
regions). Please see Fischer (2005) and Easterling, W.E.,
et al. (2007) from the IPCC for more information.
78. Boko, M., et al. (2007): “Africa.” Climate Change 2007:
Impacts, Adaptations and Vulnerability, Contribution
of Working Group II to the Fourth Assessment Report
of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change,
M.L. Parry, et al. Eds., Cambridge University Press,
Cambridge, UK, 433-467, p.435.
79. Relief Web. (2009): “Uganda: Rising temperatures
threatening livelihoods.” ReliefWeb¸March 3.
http://www.reliefweb.int/rw/rwb.nsf/db900SID/JBRN-
7PSK45?OpenDocument.
80. Rugumayo, A.I. and Mwebaze, D.B., (2002):
“Drought-Intensity Duration and Frequency Analysis:
A Case Study of Western Uganda.” Journal of the
Chartered Institution of Water and Environmental
Management, ISSN 1360-4015, Issue 16, Number 2
p.111-115.
81. Makunike, C. (2008) “Climate change threatens
food security in Uganda’s Karamoja region.” Africa
News Network, African Agriculture, April 6. http://
africanagriculture.blogspot.com/2008/04/climatechanges-threaten-food-security.html.
82. All Africa. (2009): “Uganda: Rising Temperatures
Threatening Livelihoods.” All Africa and IRIN, March 3.
http://www.wfp.org/news/hunger-in-the-news?tid=332.
83. WWAP. (2005): “National water development report:
Uganda.” World Water Assessment Programme and
Directorate of Water Development, Prepared for 2nd
UN World Water Development Report, p.116-118.
http://www.unesco.org/water/wwap/wwdr/wwdr2/
case_studies/uganda/index.shtml.
84. According to World Food Programme, economists
estimate that each child whose physical and mental
development is stunted by hunger and malnutrition
stands to lose 5-10 percent in lifetime earnings. WFP.
(2009): “World Hunger.” World Food Programme.
http://www.wfp.org/hunger.
85. IMC. (2009): “Climate Change and Higher Food Costs
Spark Widespread Hunger in Indonesia.” International
Medical Corps. http://www.imcworldwide.org/content/
article/detail/2029.
86. Naylor, R., et al. (2007): “Assessing risks of climate
variability and climate change for Indonesian rice and
agriculture.” Proceedings of the National Academy of
Sciences, Volume 104, Number 19, May 8.
87. Kalaugher, L. (2007): “Climate models indicate rice
agriculture in Indonesia will suffer.” Environmental
Research Web. May 9. http://environmentalresearchweb.
org/cws/article/research/29931.
88. Peace. (2007): “Indonesia and climate change:
current status and policies.” World Bank, p.4. http://
siteresources.worldbank.org/INTINDONESIA/
Resources/Environment/ClimateChange_Full_EN.pdf.
89. FSE results reveal an increase in the probability of a
30 day delayed monsoon as a result of changes in
average climate from 9-18% today to 30-40% in 2050.
Naylor, R., et al. (2007): “Assessing risks of climate
variability and climate change for Indonesian rice and
agriculture.” Proceedings of the National Academy of
Sciences, Volume 104, Number 19, May 8.
90. Ghebreyesus et al. (2008): “Public health and
weather services-climate information for the health
sector.” WMO Bulletin, 57(4), October.
91. Epstein, P.R (2006): Climate Change Futures:
Health, Ecological and Economic Dimensions. The
Center for Health and the Global Environment, Harvard
Medical School.