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The Anatomy of A Silent Crisis The Anatomy of A Silent Crisis

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104 Forum 2009: Climate Change – <strong>The</strong> <strong>Anatomy</strong> <strong>of</strong> a <strong>Silent</strong> <strong>Crisis</strong><br />

120. Updated Water Stress calculation conducted for<br />

Global Humanitarian Forum Report 2009 by Gerten,<br />

D. and Heinke, J.<strong>of</strong> PIK Research Portal.<br />

121. Kundzewicz, Z.W., et al. (2007): “Freshwater<br />

resources and their management.” Climate<br />

Change 2007: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability,<br />

Contribution <strong>of</strong> Working Group II to the Fourth<br />

Assessment Report <strong>of</strong> the Intergovernmental Panel on<br />

Climate Change, M.L. Parry, et al. Eds., Cambridge<br />

University Press, Cambridge, UK, 173-210, p 194<br />

and Hinrichsen, D., Robey, B., and Upadhyay,<br />

U.D. (1997): “Solutions for a Water-Short World.”<br />

Population Reports, Series M, No. 14. Baltimore,<br />

Johns Hopkins School <strong>of</strong> Public Health, Population<br />

Information Program, December. http://www.<br />

inf<strong>of</strong>orhealth.org/pr/m14/m14chap3_1.shtml.<br />

122. FAO. (2008): ”Water at a glance.” UN Food and<br />

Agriculture Organization. http://www.fao.org/nr/<br />

water/docs/waterataglance.pdf.<br />

123. Rockström, J., et al. (2009): “Future water<br />

availability for global food production: <strong>The</strong> potential<br />

<strong>of</strong> green water for increasing resilience to global<br />

change.” Water Resour. Res., 45, W00A12,<br />

DOI:10.1029/2007WR006767.<br />

124. UN. (2006): “Factsheet on water and sanitation.”<br />

United Nations, International Decade for Action<br />

Water for Life, 2005-2015. http://www.un.org/<br />

waterforlifedecade/factsheet.html.<br />

125. WHO. (2009): “Water-related diseases.” World<br />

Health Organization. http://www.who.int/water_<br />

sanitation_health/diseases/diarrhoea/en/.<br />

126. Arnell, N. (2004): “Climate Change and Global Water<br />

Resources: SRES Emissions and Socio-economic<br />

scenarios.” Global Environmental Change, 14(1), 31-52.<br />

127. World Bank. (2009): “Water and Climate Change.”<br />

<strong>The</strong> World Bank Group. http://web.worldbank.org/<br />

WBSITE/EXTERNAL/TOPICS/EXTWAT/0,,contentMDK<br />

:21723353~pagePK:148956~piPK:216618~theSitePK<br />

:4602123,00.html.<br />

128. Sullivan, C.A. (2009 forthcoming): “Global change, water<br />

resources and human vulnerability.” Paper presented at<br />

the MODSM conference, Cairns.<br />

129. 6 factors are captured in the map related to human<br />

vulnerability to climate change: (1) physically vulnerable<br />

areas, (semi-arid dry lands, small islands, urban<br />

areas, etc.), (2) changes in water supply and quality,<br />

(3) access issues (distance to water source, etc.), (4)<br />

water usage, (5) water management and adaptive<br />

capacity, and (6) eco-system water needs. Indicators<br />

such as average annual rainfall, water stress, and per<br />

capita GDP are combined using a weighted scaling<br />

system, (for the global map shown in this report, equal<br />

weights were applied for all countries across the six<br />

factors described above). For more information please<br />

refer to Sullivan (2009 forthcoming).<br />

130. Sullivan, C., and Meigh, J. (2005): “Targeting<br />

attention on local vulnerabilities using an integrated<br />

index approach: the example <strong>of</strong> the Climate<br />

Vulnerability Index.” Water Science and Technology,<br />

51(5), 69-78, p.76.<br />

131. Dawson, B., and Spannagle, D. (2009): “<strong>The</strong><br />

complete guide to climate change.” Routledge,<br />

New York. p394.<br />

132. Esper, J., et al. (2007): “Long-term drought severity<br />

variations in Morocco.” Swiss Federal Research<br />

Institute WSL, 8903 Birmsdorf, Switzerland Institute<br />

<strong>of</strong> Geography and NCCR Climate, University <strong>of</strong> Bern.<br />

133. WHO. (2006): “Climate Change and its Impact<br />

on Health in Morocco.” World Health Organization<br />

Eastern Mediterranean Regional Office.<br />

134. Dr. Abdelkader, Ministry <strong>of</strong> Agriculture and Maritime<br />

Fishing suggests that uncontrollable urbanization<br />

and population growth are the primary drivers <strong>of</strong><br />

increased flooding, which are further exacerbated by<br />

the effects <strong>of</strong> climate change.<br />

135. IOL (2009): “Scores homeless as floods hit<br />

Morocco.” Independent Newspapers, February 9.<br />

http://www.iol.co.za/index.php?set_id=1&click_<br />

id=85&art_id=nw20090209171535156C863672<br />

136. World Bank. (2008): “Making the Most <strong>of</strong> Scarcity:<br />

Accountability for Better Water Management Results<br />

in the Middle East and North Africa.” World Bank.<br />

http://web.worldbank.org/WBSITE/EXTERNAL/

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