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The Anatomy of A Silent Crisis The Anatomy of A Silent Crisis

The Anatomy of A Silent Crisis The Anatomy of A Silent Crisis

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40 Forum 2009: Climate Change – <strong>The</strong> <strong>Anatomy</strong> <strong>of</strong> a <strong>Silent</strong> <strong>Crisis</strong><br />

“ Humanity will face major water challenges in the next<br />

few decades in certain regions <strong>of</strong> the world related to<br />

the impacts <strong>of</strong> climate change and rapidly growing<br />

human demands for water. However, the picture<br />

may be less bleak than widely portrayed — if overall<br />

water resources are managed better, future food<br />

crises could be significantly reduced.”<br />

Johan Rockström — Executive Director, Stockholm Environment Institute (SEI) and<br />

Stockholm Resilience Centre<br />

Water: Climate change exacerbates already shrinking fresh water availability<br />

Freshwater supply and quality are strongly affected by climate change<br />

As the climate warms, it changes the nature <strong>of</strong> global rainfall, evaporation, snow, stream flow<br />

and other factors that affect water supply and quality. 116 Freshwater resources are highly sensitive<br />

to variations in weather and climate. Climate change is projected to affect water availability.<br />

Growing evidence suggests that it speeds up the water cycle, which can bring longer droughts<br />

and more intense periods <strong>of</strong> rain. 117,118 This makes wet regions even wetter and arid areas drier. 118<br />

In areas where the amount <strong>of</strong> water in rivers and streams depends on snow melting, warmer<br />

temperatures increase the fraction <strong>of</strong> precipitation falling as rain rather than as snow, causing the<br />

annual spring peak in water run<strong>of</strong>f to occur earlier in the year. 116 This can lead to an increased<br />

likelihood <strong>of</strong> winter flooding and reduced late summer river flows. 117 Rising sea levels cause<br />

saltwater to enter into fresh underground water and freshwater streams. This reduces the amount<br />

the amount <strong>of</strong> freshwater available for drinking and farming. Warmer water temperatures also affect<br />

water quality and accelerate water pollution. 116<br />

Climate change makes water scarce and unfit for human consumption today and exacerbates<br />

unsustainable water use by farming sector in many water scarce regions<br />

Over 1.3 billion people worldwide are “water stressed,” 119 meaning they are facing extreme water<br />

scarcity. 120 Chronic shortages <strong>of</strong> freshwater are likely to threaten food production, reduce sanitation,<br />

hinder economic development and damage ecosystems. 121 Because <strong>of</strong> this, water scarcity and<br />

reduced quality pose problems that threaten the very survival <strong>of</strong> those affected. For example,<br />

changes in water quantity and quality directly affect food availability. Too little water decreases food

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