The Indonesian Budget Overview 2010 - Direktorat Jenderal ...

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DAMPAK KRISIS YUNANI TERHADAP PEREKONOMIAN INDONESIA | THE IMPACT OF THE GREEK CRISIS ON THE INDONESIAN ECONOMYIndonesia dengan Yunani relatif kecil dibandingkandengan negara-negara mitra dagang utama eropaseperti Jerman, Inggris dan Perancis. Apalagi jikadibandingkan dengan mitra dagang utama lainnyaseperti Jepang dan Amerika Serikat. Nilai perdaganganIndonesia dan Yunani hanya sebesar US$198.486,8ribu atau 0,09 persen dari total nilai perdaganganpada tahun 2009, sedangkan persentase nilaiperdagangan Indonesia dengan Jerman, Inggrisdan Perancis mencapai masing-masing sebesar 2,2persen, 1,08 persen dan 1,2 persen dari total nilaitransaksi perdagangan Indonesia. Nilai tersebut masihrelatif kecil jika dibandingkan dengan Jepang danAmerika Serikat yang mencapai 13,3 persen dan 8,4persen. Sangat masuk akal jika pada tahun 2009saat terjadi krisis yang melanda Amerika Serikat dansebagian besar Negara dunia termasuk Jepang nilaiperdagangan Indonesia ikut terpukul. Kondisi iniberbeda dengan kondisi krisis yang melanda Yunani diawal tahun 2010, nilai perdagangan Indonesia relatiftidak terpengaruh, bahkan hingga september 2010,neraca perdagangan Indonesia masih surplus.is relatively small compared with the countries ofEurope’s major trading partners, such as Germanyand France. This is even more so if compared toother major trading partners like Japan and theUnited States. Indonesia-Greece trade value was onlyUS$198,486.8 thousand, or 0.09 percent of totaltrade value in 2009. Meanwhile, Indonesia’s tradevalue with Germany and France reached 2.2 percentand 1.2 percent, respectively. Those values are stillrelatively small if compared to Japan and the UnitedStates, which reached 13.3 percent and 8.4 percent.It makes sense that if in 2009, when the crisis hitthe United States and most countries of the world,including Japan, that Indonesia’s trade value was alsohit. In contrast to the condition of crisis that hit Greecein early 2010,Indonesia’s trade value is relatively unaffected.Transmisi melalui jalur perbankanIndonesia memiliki hubungan yang relatif erat dankuat dengan eurozone namun tidak begitu denganYunani. Ketergantungan perbankan Indonesiaterhadap eurozone sebesar 43,6%, sedangkandengan Yunani perbankan Indonesia berdasarkandata dari BIS tidak memiliki ketergantungan karenadari total foreign claim Indonesia tidak ada yangberasal dari Yunani. Diantara negara-negara PIIGS,Transmission Through Banking RoutesIndonesia has a relatively close and strong relationshipwith the Eurozone, but not so must with Greece.Dependence of Indonesian banking with theEurozone is 43.6%, while with Greece the Indonesianbanking, based on data from the BIS, does not havea dependency because of the total foreign claims ofIndonesia, none come from Greece. Among the PIIGScountries, only Italy has a banking relationship with224THE INDONESIANBUDGET OVERVIEW 2010
DAMPAK KRISIS YUNANI TERHADAP PEREKONOMIAN INDONESIA | THE IMPACT OF THE GREEK CRISIS ON THE INDONESIAN ECONOMYTrade Transactions(in thousands of US$)Countries 2007 2008 20092010Jan -JuliJapan 30,159,470.70 42,871,871.40 28,418,459.20 23,295,803.00United States 16,401,404.10 20,916,939.20 17,933,955.60 13,362,705.00Germany 4,298,035.6 5,533,952.7 4,700,197.3 3,236,280.00UK 2,108,149.8 2,614,438.8 2,303,988.7 1,554,673.0France 2,246,597.9 2,628,242.7 2,503,313.6 1,343,815.0Greece 262,842.5 242,302.3 198,486.8 130,478.0World 188,574,300.0 266,217,700.0 213,339,300.0 208,078,500.0Countries 2007 2008 20092010Jan-JulJapan 15.99 16.10 13.32 11.20United States 8.70 7.86 8.41 6.42Germany 2.28 2.08 2.20 1.56UK 1.12 0.98 1.08 0.75France 1.19 0.99 1.17 0.65Greece 0.14 0.09 0.09 0.06World 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00Source : Ministry of Tradehanya Italia yang memiliki hubungan perbankandengan Indonesia meskipun nilainya sangat kecil.Dari total foreign claim Indonesia, hanya 1,6% yangberasal dari Italia. Ketergantungan perbankanIndonesia yang cukup tinggi selain terhadap eurozoneadalah Amerika Serikat dan Jepang yang masingmasingmencapai 15,2% dan 13,6%. Oleh sebab itu,apabila Amerika Serikat dan Jepang mengalami krisisseperti yang terjadi pada tahun 2008-2009 makacukup masuk akal apabila Indonesia juga merasakanpengaruhnya. Sementara krisis Yunani tidak begituterasa pengaruhnya karena tidak ada keterkaitanIndonesia, although its value is very small. Of the totalforeign claims of Indonesia, only 1.6% comes fromItaly. Indonesian banking dependence is sufficientlyhigh on the United States and Japan, respectivelyreaching 15.2% and 13.6%, in addition to suchdependence on the Eurozone. Therefore, if the UnitedStates and Japan are in a crisis, as happened in 2008-2009, it is reasonable for Indonesia to also feel itsimpact. Meanwhile, the Greek crisis had a much lesspronounced effect because of no direct relationshipbetween Indonesian banking and Greece. The Greekcrisis will only have impact if the crisis is not tackledTHE INDONESIANBUDGET OVERVIEW 2010225
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6. Dampak Krisis Yunani TerhadAp AP
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SAMBUTAN DIREKTUR JENDERAL ANGGARAN
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