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Bad Astronomy: Misconceptions and Misuses Revealed, from ...

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THE DISASTER THAT WASN’T 131<br />

wrote a book about the alignment, 5/5/2000 Ice: The Ultimate<br />

Disaster, where he claims that the Earth’s axis would tilt due to the<br />

combined pull of the planets, plunging the Earth into an ice age.<br />

Noone was sincere, <strong>and</strong> felt he had done the research to back up<br />

his claims. The problem is, his research involved almost no astronomy<br />

at all. He related Bible prophesies, Nostradamus, <strong>and</strong> even<br />

the shape of the Great Pyramid in Egypt to a disaster in the year<br />

2000, <strong>and</strong> figured the planets must have something to do with it.<br />

Yet, in his me<strong>and</strong>ering book precious little space is devoted to the<br />

planets, <strong>and</strong> nowhere—nowhere!—does he talk about the actual<br />

measurable effects of the planets.<br />

I am almost willing to give Noone the benefit of the doubt <strong>and</strong><br />

assume he really was concerned about global catastrophe. But I<br />

wonder: if he really felt that the Earth would be destroyed on May<br />

5, 2000, why not give away his book for free so that people could<br />

be warned? I can’t imagine he thought the royalties he got on the<br />

book would be worth much on May 6.<br />

Noone wasn’t even the first. In the 1980s astronomer John Gribbin<br />

<strong>and</strong> his coauthor Stephen Plagemann wrote an infamous book<br />

entitled The Jupiter Effect, which claimed—again, without the benefit<br />

of any math—that the gravity of the planets would affect the<br />

Sun, causing more solar activity, causing a change in the Earth’s<br />

rotation, causing massive earthquakes. This tissue-thin string of suppositions<br />

led them to predict very matter-of-factly that Los Angeles<br />

would be destroyed in 1982. The book was a runaway best seller.<br />

When, in fact, L.A. was not destroyed as predicted, Gribbin <strong>and</strong><br />

Plagemann wrote another book called Beyond the Jupiter Effect,<br />

making excuses about why things didn’t work out quite as they<br />

had predicted, <strong>and</strong> of course they never simply admitted they were<br />

wrong. You may not be surprised to find out that this second book<br />

was another best seller. It’s possible, barely, that the first book was<br />

a simple mistake <strong>and</strong> they honestly believed what they preached.<br />

The motivation for the second book perhaps isn’t as clear.<br />

If Noone <strong>and</strong> Gribbin were simply misguided, during the May<br />

2000 alignment the “Survival Center” company was far more deliberate.<br />

Peddling disaster nonsense, this company had a web site<br />

promoting Noone’s book as well as equipment to help you survive

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