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Bad Astronomy: Misconceptions and Misuses Revealed, from ...

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206 ARTIFICIAL INTELLIGENCE<br />

people who are very familiar with the sky—by some estimates there<br />

are as many as 100,000 amateur astronomers in the United States<br />

alone—who spend many hours every week doing nothing but looking<br />

into the sky. They own telescopes <strong>and</strong> binoculars <strong>and</strong> spend<br />

every clear night outside looking up.<br />

Think about that for a moment. These folks are looking at the<br />

sky all the time. Yet, of all the people I have had approach me or<br />

e-mail me to say they have seen a UFO, not one has been an amateur<br />

astronomer. As a matter of fact, I have never heard about any<br />

amateur astronomers seeing something in the sky they absolutely<br />

could not explain. Yet they spend far more time looking at the sky<br />

than lay people <strong>and</strong> statistically should see far more UFOs! How<br />

can this be?<br />

Easy. Remember, the amateur astronomers study the sky. They<br />

know what’s in it <strong>and</strong> what to expect. When they see a meteor, or<br />

Venus, or sunlight glinting off the solar panel of a satellite, they<br />

know it’s not an alien spaceship. Amateur astronomers know better<br />

<strong>and</strong>, in fact, all the amateurs to whom I have spoken about this<br />

are very skeptical about UFOs being alien spaceships. This is a<br />

very strong argument that there are mundane explanations for the<br />

vast majority of UFO sightings.<br />

PPP<br />

Eyewitness accounts are notoriously unreliable. However, UFO enthusiasts<br />

usually point out that we have far more evidence than<br />

these accounts. We have cameras.<br />

We have all seen footage of UFOs on television. Usually it’s an<br />

amateur photographer, perhaps someone on vacation with a video<br />

camera, who sees a distant object <strong>and</strong> quickly gets it on tape.<br />

I am always immediately suspicious of such sightings, specifically<br />

because of my own experience with the ducks. A blurry object<br />

seen <strong>from</strong> a great distance is a poor piece of evidence for extraterrestrial<br />

visitors. It could be any number of common things, <strong>from</strong><br />

ducks to balloons. Airplanes headed straight at you can appear to<br />

hover for a long time (I once thought an airplane making an approach<br />

to an airport behind me was the planet Mars; it was stationary<br />

in the sky <strong>and</strong> glowing red). Helicopters actually can hover,

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